MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 28, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sun, Jun 28 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jake Mangum logo
Jake Mangum o1.5 Total Bases (+147)
Projection 1.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jake Mangum has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (86% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 4th-best field in the majors for lefty base hits.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting on the slate.. Out of every team today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.
Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz logo
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.03
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 5th-best hitter in the league when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 4th-best field in the majors for lefty base hits.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting on the slate.
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Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sun, Jun 28 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Samuel Basallo logo
Samuel Basallo u0.5 Total Hits (+195)
Projection 0.95
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the best out of all the teams in action today.. Samuel Basallo has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 12.3% seasonal rate has fallen off to 7.1% over the past 14 days.. Samuel Basallo's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off recently, decreasing from 43.6% on the season to 35.7% in the last 14 days.. Samuel Basallo has posted a .261 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 25th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Posting a .194 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Samuel Basallo finds himself in the 18th percentile.
Total Bases
Curtis Mead logo
Curtis Mead o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Curtis Mead in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Curtis Mead is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The #8 park in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Among all stadiums, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's CF dimensions are the 4th-shallowest.. This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humidity of the day (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Sun, Jun 28 • 1:37 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Wyatt Langford logo
Wyatt Langford o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs.. The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre.. Wyatt Langford has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99.5-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 93.5-mph.
Total Bases
Daulton Varsho logo
Daulton Varsho o1.5 Total Bases (+121)
Projection 1.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. The #4 park in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre.. Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage against Kumar Rocker today.. Extreme flyball bats like Daulton Varsho usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kumar Rocker.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Sun, Jun 28 • 1:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Houston Astros logo HOU (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Hunter Brown gives Houston a massive starting pitching advantage over Casey Mize, who allows way too much contact. Detroit is striking out a lot lately, and Houston’s bullpen has the pinpoint control and elite swing-and-miss stuff to easily protect this very reasonable price.

Total Bases
Kerry Carpenter logo
Kerry Carpenter u1.5 Total Bases (-230)
Projection 0.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kerry Carpenter is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. This year, Kerry Carpenter has been pinch hit for in 40% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.. In today's game, Kerry Carpenter is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.5% rate (93rd percentile).. Kerry Carpenter has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 9.5% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past two weeks.. From last season to this one, Kerry Carpenter's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 46.3% to 41.1%.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Sun, Jun 28 • 1:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Seattle Mariners logo SEA (-107)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Cleveland's hitters are in an absolute funk right now, striking out a ton and barely scoring runs. George Kirby throws elite strikes, which will completely frustrate them. If he hands the lead over, Seattle’s bullpen is currently the absolute best, most untouchable unit in baseball.

Total Bases
Josh Naylor logo
Josh Naylor o1.5 Total Bases (+163)
Projection 1.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Josh Naylor is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 2nd-best park in baseball for lefty base hits.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Josh Naylor will hold the platoon advantage against Gavin Williams today.. Josh Naylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.2% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Sun, Jun 28 • 1:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Projection 2.09
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Junior Caminero ranks as the 17th-best batter in MLB.. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. The #3 park in the league for boosting home runs to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Junior Caminero pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.2% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Junior Caminero will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Adrian Del Castillo logo
Adrian Del Castillo o1.5 Total Bases (+255)
Projection 1.19
Best Odds
Pick made: 39 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Adrian Del Castillo is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Adrian Del Castillo will have the upper hand today.. Extreme flyball batters like Adrian Del Castillo are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team playing today.. Adrian Del Castillo has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.1-mph average to last season's 90.9-mph EV.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ New York Mets logo NYM Sun, Jun 28 • 1:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI (-131)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

The Mets are scraping by with an undecided pitching plan, while Philadelphia is throwing a solid starter in Jesus Luzardo. More importantly, the Phillies' bullpen is completely locked in right now, walking almost nobody and making it incredibly tough for the Mets late.

Total Hits
Gabriel Rincones Jr. logo
Gabriel Rincones Jr. u0.5 Total Hits (+100)
Projection 0.52
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Rincones in the 17th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Gabriel Rincones is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the worst field in MLB for LHB batting average.. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which often leads to worse offense.. Batting from the opposite that Tobias Myers throws from, Gabriel Rincones will have an edge in today's matchup.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Sun, Jun 28 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Colson Montgomery logo
Colson Montgomery o0.5 Total RBIs (+148)
Projection 0.72
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Colson Montgomery as MLB's 14th-best home run batter.. Colson Montgomery is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #7 stadium in the game for overall LHB offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather forecast expects the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Colson Montgomery will hold the platoon advantage against Luinder Avila in today's game.
Total Bases
Colson Montgomery logo
Colson Montgomery u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.87
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Braden Montgomery is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Sun, Jun 28 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton o1.5 Total Bases (-120)
Projection 2.13
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as the league's 4th-best home run hitter.. Byron Buxton is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Target Field grades out as the #10 venue in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is predicted to have the most humidity on the slate (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Byron Buxton will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as the league's 4th-best home run hitter.. Byron Buxton is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Target Field grades out as the #10 venue in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is predicted to have the most humidity on the slate (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Byron Buxton will hold that advantage today.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Sun, Jun 28 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Andrew Vaughn logo
Andrew Vaughn u0.5 Total Hits (+200)
Projection 0.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for hurlers.. Among every team in action today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs.. In the past two weeks, Andrew Vaughn's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 91.2 mph to 84.3 mph.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Andrew Vaughn's true offensive talent to be a .333, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .074 deviation between that figure and his actual .407 wOBA.
Total Bases
Ian Happ logo
Ian Happ o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Ian Happ is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 8th-best park in baseball for lefty home runs.. In the league, American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Sun, Jun 28 • 2:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Kyle Stowers logo
Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+154)
Projection 0.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest average fence height in the majors.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the hottest temperature of all games today at 90°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.
Total RBIs
Lars Nootbaar logo
Lars Nootbaar o0.5 Total RBIs (+176)
Projection 0.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest average fence height in the majors.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the hottest temperature of all games today at 90°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Sun, Jun 28 • 3:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Denzer Guzman logo
Denzer Guzman o1.5 Total Bases (+144)
Projection 1.75
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Denzer Guzman is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. On average, the fence height at Angel Stadium is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Athletics.. Denzer Guzman will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Total Bases
Shea Langeliers logo
Shea Langeliers o1.5 Total Bases (-115)
Projection 2.27
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Shea Langeliers as the league's 17th-best home run hitter.. Shea Langeliers is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. On average, the fence height at Angel Stadium is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.. Batting from the opposite that Samuel Aldegheri throws from, Shea Langeliers will have the upper hand in today's game.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sun, Jun 28 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Matt Olson logo
Matt Olson u1.5 Total Bases (-176)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Oracle Park ranks as the #24 park in the league for overall left-handed offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, the tallest fence height (on average) are at Oracle Park.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Hitting from the same side that Robbie Ray throws from, Matt Olson meets a tough challenge in today's matchup.. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Matt Olson in today's matchup.
Total Hits
Bryce Eldridge logo
Bryce Eldridge u0.5 Total Hits (+120)
Projection 0.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Bryce Eldridge is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.. Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Because of Chris Sale's huge platoon split, Bryce Eldridge will be at a colossal disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today's game.. The Atlanta Braves outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best among all the teams playing today.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ San Diego Padres logo SD Sun, Jun 28 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani logo
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.12
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 4th-best hitter in the majors.. Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.. Shohei Ohtani will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael King today.. Shohei Ohtani has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 17.5% seasonal rate to 27.3% in the last 14 days.
Total Bases
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.53
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions in the league.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage today.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sun, Jun 28 • 7:20 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ben Rice logo
Ben Rice o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.03
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Ben Rice is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The #4 stadium in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Ben Rice will hold the platoon advantage over Sonny Gray in today's game.. Ben Rice pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Jasson Dominguez logo
Jasson Dominguez o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Jasson Dominguez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The #4 stadium in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. The 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Fenway Park.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Jasson Dominguez will get to bat from his better side against Sonny Gray in today's matchup.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET
6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
St. Louis Cardinals logo o2.5 Team Total (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed
Zac Gallen logo Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: 6 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 16 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 9 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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Every day our baseball analysts look for quality baseball picks to share. You can expect well-researched picks on the money, run line, totals, player props, and much more.

Free MLB Run Line Picks

Run lines are what other sports like football and basketball refer to as point spreads. Run lines even the odds between two teams, offering bettors as close to an even matchup as possible. Our analysts research vital stats, pitching matchups, injuries, and more to give you the best possible edge before making your MLB run line bets.

Free MLB Totals Picks

Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.

Free MLB Moneyline Picks

Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.

Free MLB Prop Picks

There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.

MLB Consensus Picks

Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.

Best Baseball Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.