The dust has settled on the 2026 FIFA World Cup draw, and the USA World Cup odds have adjusted accordingly after Group D revealed a favorable path for the Americans.
With three winnable matchups on their slate, the United States now enters as the betting favorite to top the group. Their overall futures price also tightened, moving from +6600 to +5000 after the draw.
United States World Cup odds 2026
| Market |  |
|---|---|
| To win the World Cup | +5000 |
| To reach the World Cup Final | +2200 |
| To win Group D | +100 |
| To qualify from Group D | -500 |
Odds as of 12-9.
United States World Cup prediction 2026
Pick: To win Group D (+100 at Sports Interaction)
The United States couldn’t have asked for a more forgiving World Cup group.
On paper, they possess the stronger squad compared to both Paraguay and Australia, and whoever emerges from UEFA Path C isn’t likely to shift that outlook.
Paraguay’s attack sputtered throughout qualifying — just 14 goals in 18 games — while Australia came through Asia behind Japan and recently fell to the U.S. in a friendly.
There’s still plenty of time before the tournament begins, but the early signs point to a favorable path for the Americans, and this line is almost guaranteed to shorten.
With the U.S. playing on home soil and the wave of domestic support ramping up, public money will keep pushing this price tighter as we get closer to Matchday 1.
United States World Cup schedule
- Friday, June 12 vs. Paraguay (Los Angeles Stadium)
- Friday, June 19 vs. Australia (Seattle Stadium)
- Thursday, June 25 vs. UEFA Path C Winner (Los Angeles Stadium)
USA vs. Paraguay odds — June 12, 2026
USA ML
Paraguay MLOdds as of 12-9 via Sports Interaction.
More 2026 World Cup Betting insights
- Canada 2026 World Cup odds breakdown
- Early World Cup predictions
- World Cup playoff draw bracket
- World Cup 2026 odds
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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USA 2026 World Cup Odds FAQ
The USA will face Paraguay, Australia and whoever qualifies from Turkey/Romania/Slovakia/Kosovo.
The USA is currently sitting at +5000 to win the 2026 World Cup.
The USA's first 2026 World Cup game is Friday, June 12 against Paraguay.
