PSG vs Bayern Munich Predictions, Picks & Odds for Tuesday’s Champions League Match

Sam Farley - Contributor at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst 10+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 27, 2026 , 01:55 PM ET • 4 min read

Our PSG vs. Bayern Munich predictions think it will be tough for the German side to break down PSG's defense.

Achraf Hakimi PSG Champions League
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Achraf Hakimi before a Ligue 1 match against FC Nantes.

The two most exciting teams on the planet meet in the Champions League on Tuesday, with PSG hosting Bayern Munich at the Parc des Princes.

With the talent on display, everyone is expecting plenty of shots and goals, but our PSG vs. Bayern Munich predictions and free betting picks have looked at PSG’s recent defensive record and expect things to be tough for Bayern.

PSG vs Bayern Munich picks and predictions

My PSG vs Bayern Munich best bet: Bayern Munich Under 4.5 shots on target (+125 at Sports Interaction)

With two of the best attacking lineups in the world, it’s easy to see why people expect goals. However, this is just the first leg of a two-legged tie. In Bayern’s first leg against Real Madrid in the quarterfinals, they had just four shots on target.

PSG played at home in the first leg of their quarterfinal and stopped Liverpool from managing even a single shot on target. They’ve averaged just 10.1 shots against per game in the Champions League, the best record of any team remaining in the competition.

Expect a tighter, cagier game than you’d expect with the talent on display.

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PSG vs Bayern Munich same-game parlay (SGP)

Luis Diaz 1+ shots on target

Michael Olise 3+ shots

Fabian Ruiz 2+ shots

Luiz Diaz has been a monster down Bayern Munich’s left flank this season. He's averaged 1.52 shots on target per 90 minutes played in the Champions League and has had a shot on target in 16 of his previous 22 starts in all competitions.

Michael Olise has elevated himself to one of the very best in the world since joining Bayern, and he’s only just behind Harry Kane in shots per 90 minutes played, averaging 3.77 shots in the Champions League.

Returning from injury, we’ll see Fabian Ruiz back to being a key part of PSG’s midfield. Despite playing just six times in the Champions League this season, he’s still had 14 shots and isn’t afraid to take a shot when he gets forward.

PSG vs Bayern Munich odds

PSG PSG Bayern Munich Bayern Munich
+130 Moneyline +170
+290 Draw +290
Over 2.5 (-263) Total Under 2.5 (+290)

Odds courtesy of Sports Interaction.

How to watch PSG vs Bayern Munich

Location Parc des Princes, Paris, France
Date Tuesday, April 28, 2026
Time 3:00 p.m. ET
TV CBS
Weather Partly sunny.

PSG vs Bayern Munich key injuries

PSG: Vitinha CM (Questionable)
Bayern Munich: Serge Gnabry FWR (Questionable), Kennart Karl FWR (Questionable).

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Sam Farley
Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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