Newcastle vs Man City Predictions, Picks & Odds for Saturday’s FA Cup Match

Sam Farley - Contributor at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst +10 years betting experience
Updated: Mar 5, 2026 , 03:53 PM ET • 4 min read

Our Newcastle vs. Man City predictions expect Harvey Barnes to stay aggressive at home.

Harvey Barnes Newcastle English Premier League
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Harvey Barnes during UEFA Champions League action.

We have two big clubs meeting in the FA Cup Round of 16 as Newcastle host Man City at St James’ Park this Saturday.

Rotation is a possibility for Man City, but Newcastle won’t rest starters, which is why our Newcastle vs. Man City predictions focus on Harvey Barnes, who's having an excellent season.

Newcastle vs Man City picks and predictions

My Newcastle vs Man City best bet: Harvey Barnes 3+ shots (+100 at Sports Interaction)

Harvey Barnes had 12 goals in all competitions this season, including two in two in the FA Cup. He's averaging a staggering 2.86 shots per 90 minutes played in the Premier League for Newcastle this season.

He's had 3+ shots in five of his past eight games in all competitions, averaging 3.1 shots per game during this run.

City are looking shaky defensively and have allowed 24 shots across their past two games, despite both opposing teams struggling at the bottom of the EPL table.

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Newcastle vs Man City same-game parlay (SGP)

Harvey Barnes 3+ shots

Harvey Barnes 1+ shots on target

Harvey Barnes 1+ fouls committed

Barnes has averaged 1.06 shots on target per 90 minutes in the Premier League this season, which leads this Newcastle squad. He’s had seven shots on target in his past five games, including one in a 30-minute sub appearance against Man City last month.

Although Barnes has only given up 0.81 fouls per 90 minutes played in the EPL this season, he committed one foul in just 30 minutes against this City team a few weeks ago and will be matched up on the same flank as the dangerous Antoine Semenyo and Matheus Nunes.

Newcastle vs Man City odds

Newcastle Newcastle Manchester City Man City
+220 Moneyline +105
+280 Draw +280
Over 2.5 (-192) Total Under 2.5 (+135)

Odds courtesy of Sports Interaction.

How to watch Newcastle vs Man City

Location St. James' Park, Newcastle-upon-Tyne, England
Date Saturday, March 7, 2026
Time 3:00 p.m. ET
TV ESPN+
Weather 51F, calm and clear.

Newcastle vs Man City key injuries

Newcastle: Jacob Rasmey CM (Out), Bruno Guimaraes CM (Out), Fabian Schar DEF (Out), Lewis Miley CM (Out), Emil Krafth DEF (Out), Nick Woltemade STR (Questionable).
Man City: Josko Gvardiol DEF (Out), Mateo Kovacic CM (Out), Nico O’Reilly LW (Questionable), Erling Haaland STR (Questionable).

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Sam Farley
Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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