Tottenham Relegation Odds: Spurs Still in Bottom Three With Four Games Left

Chris Vasile - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Chris Vasile • Betting Analyst 13+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 30, 2026 , 05:24 PM ET • 4 min read

Tottenham’s relegation battle is down to the wire, with Spurs sitting 18th and two points from safety with just four games remaining.

Richarlison of Tottenham Hotspur chases the ball.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Richarlison of Tottenham Hotspur chases the ball.

Tottenham’s relegation battle is entering its final stretch, and while Spurs picked up a crucial win over Wolves, they still have work to do.

Sitting 18th in the table, Tottenham remain two points behind West Ham with just four matches left to play, keeping their survival hopes alive but far from secure.

With time running out, Tottenham's relegation odds continue to reflect just how thin the margin for error has become.

Tottenham relegation odds today

Percentages courtesy of Kalshi.

Tottenham’s relegation odds currently sit at 55% on Kalshi, placing Spurs among the most likely teams to go down this season.

With just four matches remaining, that number reflects both their position in the table and a prolonged run of poor form.

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Premier League relegation picture

Tottenham’s relegation outlook has stabilized slightly after a win over Wolves, but their position hasn’t improved.

Spurs remain 18th in the table, still two points behind West Ham United with just four matches left to play, meaning the pressure hasn’t changed, only the margin for error.

Now trading around 49%, the market still views relegation as a near coin-flip outcome, reflecting both their recent result and the reality of their situation.

At this stage of the season, betting markets are driven by one thing:

  • Points available
  • Schedule
  • Who controls their own fate.

With West Ham United still ahead and picking up results, Spurs are in a position where they likely need to win multiple matches — and get help — to survive.

And with only four games remaining, there’s no longer room for gradual improvement.

Can Tottenham survive? Remaining fixtures breakdown

Tottenham have four matches left and the path to survival is brutally tight.

Games they probably lose: Aston Villa (A), Chelsea (A). 

There are no layups here.

Both teams are pushing for Champions League football, and Chelsea have won five straight vs. their London rivals. 

Relegation six-pointers they must win: Leeds (H)

This game is a MUST-WIN. Leeds are currently three points ahead of them, but Tottenham do hold a slight edge in goal differential, which could prove decisive.

Dragging another team into the battle could be the best way to save themselves. 

Games that are coin flips: Everton (H)

This game is a true coin flip as Everton are also in the hunt for a European spot.  

Will Tottenham be relegated?

Tottenham’s relegation fight isn’t about potential anymore; it’s about execution.

The win over Wolves kept them alive, but it didn’t change the math. They’re still chasing, still relying on help, and still facing a brutal schedule.

From a betting perspective, the market is pricing Spurs exactly where they belong: a team with a real path to survival — but one that’s running out of time to find it.

Best bet: Tottenham to be relegated — Yes

  • Best bet placed at (37¢) on April 10, 2026. 
  • Current Price: 55¢ - would buy up to 60¢

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Chris Vasile Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Chris Vasile is a betting analyst with over 13 years of experience breaking down soccer betting markets, with additional coverage across the WNBA and NFL. He focuses on finding numbers that are slow to adjust — whether it’s due to scheduling spots, player usage, or recent form — and explaining why a line is worth playing. His work has appeared across major betting and sports media platforms, including Covers, VSiN, BetMGM Network, and SportsGrid, where he’s delivered sharp analysis on both mainstream and niche markets. At Covers, he contributes to major tournament coverage and daily betting content, with a particular focus on soccer. He also runs the Game Day Wagers YouTube channel, where he shares daily picks and betting insights tailored for serious bettors.

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