Man City vs West Ham Predictions and Picks for Today’s EPL Matchup

Although the Hammers will hope to end a history of struggles at Etihad with a massive upset, Jason Ence expects them to be nothing more than a footnote to another Citizens' league title. Read more in our Man City vs. West Ham betting picks.

Jason Ence - Betting Analyst at
Jason Ence • Betting Analyst
May 19, 2024 • 10:04 ET • 4 min read
Joško Gvardiol Man City EPL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Manchester City seeks a date with destiny on Sunday when they welcome West Ham United to Etihad Stadium on the Premier League’s final day.

Only one team in the Premier League is unbeaten at home this season, and Manchester City will look to maintain that perfect record as they go for the title. We help you identify some value in a heavily tilted betting market in our Manchester City vs. West Ham United predictions and Premier League picks for May 19.

EPL predictions for Man City vs West Ham

My best bet:
Man City first half team total Over 1.5 (-102 at TonyBet)

My analysis

When your long-time manager is preparing to lead your team out for the final time, you hope for words of inspiration. After all, you’re looking to send him off with a victory and leave everyone with positive memories.

That’s why many West Ham fans had to be concerned with the comments made by David Moyes leading up to their finale with Manchester City. “It’d be difficult stopping their Under-14’s,” he said of Manchester City in the leadup this week.

Not that he’s wrong, mind you. But it speaks to the confidence of a manager who has seemingly checked out, and who has seen his team utterly capitulate over the past few months when facing teams featuring high-quality attacks.

In a match where the betting markets feature more juice than a brunch with unlimited mimosas, every angle matters. 

West Ham’s last two away matches have been ugly viewing for the Hammers. A 5-0 defeat at Chelsea was preceded by a 5-2 loss at Crystal Palace, just two of four instances where they’ve conceded at 5+ goals away from home in the Premier League. That’s out of 17 matches, a stunning ratio, and it doesn’t include a 5-1 defeat at Liverpool in the Carabao Cup.

And in three of those four defeats, they trailed by multiple goals at halftime. Chelsea scored three times in the opening 36 minutes, with Palace putting four into the back of the net in the opening half. Their defeat at Fulham in December also saw them concede a trio prior to the break.

With the betting odds so heavily tilted in City’s favor, why are we able to get a price of -102 for this play? It’s because Manchester City have scored multiple goals before halftime in only eight of their 17 home Premier League matches, and only two of their last eight. 

Regardless of that fact, Manchester City know they can’t mess around here. A draw or defeat gives the title to Arsenal, and the longer they allow West Ham to hang around, the more likely they are to be motivated to shock the world.

I’m expecting Pep to lay siege to their penalty area from the opening whistle. If they can put West Ham to the sword inside the first half-hour, they can put the West Ham players into beach mode before halftime and cruise to the title. 

Manchester City has a chance to become the first English top-flight side to win four consecutive league titles, and they won’t want to waste time doing so. Destiny is in their hands, and they’ll grasp it as they net multiple goals before halftime.

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Man City vs West Ham same-game parlay (SGP)

Man City first-half team total Over 1.5

Man City Over 23.5 shots

Josko Gvardiol 1+ shot on goal

Manchester City will look to repeat the exploits of Liverpool and Chelsea. Before West Ham’s win over lowly Luton Town last week, the Hammers had conceded 25+ shots to each of those two opponents.

In the two matches before that, West Ham allowed 18 shots each to Palace and Fulham. Manchester City had 29 in the reverse fixture, and they’ll have at least 24 here.

Josko Gvardiol should have had a shot on goal last match but put it over the bar from just six yards out. He’s managed six shots over his last four matches, putting four on target, and he presents some nice value for Sunday's SGP.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Man City vs West Ham odds

Man City vs West Ham live odds

Man City vs West Ham opening odds

  • Moneyline: Man City -1,000 | West Ham +2,200
  • Draw: +1,050
  • Over/Under: Over 4.5 (+115) | Under 4.5 (-160)

Man City vs West Ham side and Over/Under analysis

  • The Hammers have lost three straight road games and seven of their last nine across all competitions.
  • Manchester City are unbeaten in their last 18 matches vs. West Ham.
  • The current total of 4.25 goals is the highest of the season in the Premier League.
  • The last five meetings between these sides at the Etihad have featured three or fewer goals.

Man City vs West Ham game info

Location: Etihad Stadium, Manchester, UK
Date: Sunday, 5-19-2024
Time: 11:00 a.m. ET
Weather: 72F, 8-16 mph wind, 0% POP
Man City Man City recent EPL form W-W-W-W-W
West Ham West Ham recent EPL form D-W-W-W-L

Man City vs West Ham key injuries

Man City: Kevin De Bruyne M (Probable), Ederson GK (Out).
West Ham: Kalvin Phillips M (Out), Nayef Aguerd D (Doubtful), Konstantinos Mavropanos D (Doubtful).

Not intended for use in MA.
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