Mauricio Pochettino looks to end his time as the USMNT manager on a high note as he leads the Americans against Haiti on Saturday in the first leg of the CONCACAF Nations League quarterfinal.
My Haiti vs. USA predictions explain why the heavily favored USA squad (74%) will be in for a battle in his penultimate match before a move to Manchester United.
Read on for my free picks for their match on Nov. 14, with kickoff at 4:30 p.m. ET on Peacock.
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps. For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, see our odds calculator.
Haiti vs USA predictions
My Haiti vs USA top pick: Both teams to score - No (53% probability)
I'm backing the Americans to keep their third clean sheet on the trot, and playing it to 56%.
Haiti scored nine goals in their four CONCACAF group matches, but they all came in the first three. Their lone true "away" match against a good squad was their 2-0 defeat to Costa Rica, where they failed to put a single shot on target.
They were also without one of their best players in that match, with Wolves midfielder Jean-Ricner Bellegarde missing out due to injury — as he will again in this window. Making matters worse, they'll be without three of their four top central defenders.
Haiti will be forced to bunker, leaving Wilson Isidor isolated and unable to penetrate an American back line that limited Mexico and Canada to a combined four shots on target in their last two outings.
My Haiti vs USA Over/Under pick: Under 2.5 (40% probability)
Despite all that, I'm predicting a low-scoring affair and backing it at 44% as a value play.
The loss of Gio Reyna for the Americans is understated, given he was the only player Pochettino started in all four matches during the extended September international window.
While Christian Pulisic is in fine form, it remains to be seen whether he can be the playmaker the Americans will need to unlock a very tight, compact Haitian side that will be bolstered by Miami's large Haitian population.
This Haiti side has always been a tough one for the Americans to crack, and I'm predicting a 1-0 or 2-0 victory for the Yanks as they ensure they head to Cincinnati with an advantage.
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Haiti vs USA odds
Haiti
USAOdds courtesy of Kalshi.
How to watch Haiti vs USA
| Location | Nu Stadium, Miami, Fla. |
| Date | Saturday, Nov. 14, 2026 |
| Time | 4:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | Peacock |
| Weather | Expect pleasant weather with temps in the upper 60s, winds between 8-15 mph, and no rain in sight. |
Haiti vs USA key injuries
Haiti: Jean-Ricner Bellegarde CM (Out), Hannes Delcroix CB (Out), Wilguens Paugain RB (Out), Jean-Kevin Duverne CB (Out), Garven Metusala CB (Out).
USA: Gio Reyna MF (Out), Miles Robinson CB (Out), Yunus Musah CM (Out), Ricardo Pepi ST (Out).
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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