England vs Denmark Euro 2020 Tips and Predictions: 55 Years of Waiting

James Bisson - Head of Content, Betting
James Bisson • Head of Content, Betting 16+ years betting experience
Updated: Jul 3, 2021 , 07:16 PM ET • 5 min read

England striker Harry Kane broke his goal-scoring duck against Germany, then added goals two and three of Euro 2020 against Ukraine. Can England's captain add to his tally vs. Denmark? Check out our tips and predictions.

Harry Kane England national team soccer Euro 2020
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

After a brief trip to Rome for a quarterfinal triumph over Ukraine, England return to Wembley Stadium for the semifinal of Euro 2020, where they will meet the story of the tournament, Denmark.

Denmark continued their incredible Euro journey with a 2-1 win over the Czech Republic, to set up a trip to England for the first time in the tournament. 

Can England win on home turf and return to the final of a major tournament for the first time since 1966? Read on for our England vs. Denmark tips and predictions. 

Game info

• Location: Wembley Stadium, London, England
• Date: Wednesday, July 7, 2021
• Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
• TV: ESPN, TSN

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England vs Denmark betting tips

  • England (-163)
  • Harry Kane - Anytime goal (+105)

Read on for complete analysis

England vs Denmark match odds

England: -163
Denmark: +500
Draw: +275

Total: 2.5
Over 2.5: +130
Under 2.5: -163

Odds as of July 3, 2021, at 5:15 p.m. ET.

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Euro 2020 sharp money and line movement report

By Patrick Everson

As of 1:30 p.m. ET, England is a -140 favorite, Demark a +450 underdog, and Draw +250 at BetMGM. Two out of every three tickets and three out of every four dollars are on Three Lions. Denmark is taking 22 percent of tickets and 17 percent of money, and Draw is seeing 10 percent of tickets/8 percent of money. The total is at 2.5 (Under -175) although the Over is drawing 72 percent of tickets and 75 percent of money.

England vs Denmark betting preview

Weather

It will be a rainy day in London on Wednesday, with a 60 percent chance of precipitation at kickoff, with temperatures around 65 degrees Fahrenheit and 70 percent humidity.

Key injuries

England: No injuries to report.
Denmark: Christian Eriksen (Out).

Matchup

England   Denmark
4 World Ranking 10
8 Goals For 11
0 Goals Against 5
4-0 vs. Ukraine Previous Game 2-1 vs. Czech Republic
Harry Kane Player to Watch Thomas Delaney

England vs Denmark predictions

Moneyline pick

Like fellow semifinal favorites Italy, England handled their first away trip of Euro 2020 with ease, cruising by Ukraine in an emphatic 4-0 win. After a passive start to the tournament, England have not only improved in every match (with the exception of a blip against Scotland) but played with more attacking intent.

With their hammering of Ukraine, the Three Lions head into the semifinals in a fantastic situation. Their full squad is available for selection, as the three players on yellow cards made it through the quarterfinals unscathed. As a result, they can continue along with the back-four and midfield pair of Declan Rice and Kalvin Phillips who are yet to concede a goal at the tournament. Crucially, too, their forward players are in their best form yet, with their 2.14 xG against Ukraine the highest from England at the tournament, while Harry Kane's brace put him level with Raheem Sterling on three goals at Euro 2020. 

Though Denmark lost two straight games to begin the tournament, their quarterfinals win over the Czech Republic made it four good games out of five. A brief spell for the Czech Republic to begin the second half got them back in the game and actually led to them winning the xG battle 1.63-1.57, but Denmark was quick to adjust and saw out the game with relative ease.

Danish midfielders Thomas Delaney and Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg did a fantastic job of pushing possession out wide and into the channels, where they've created the majority of their opportunities at the Euros. However, they'll find it difficult to have success doing so against England. Manager Gareth Southgate has consistently overwhelmed wide areas during the tournament, with central midfielder Mason Mount drifting wide to press against Croatia and Ukraine, while against Germany, wing-backs were used to pin Germany's own wide defenders back.

England have proven that they aren't just a collection of talented players, but a well-managed team capable of adjusting to their opponent. By doing so again at Wembley on Wednesday, they'll be able to get through to the final at Euro 2020.

PREDICTION: England (-163)

Goalscorer pick

Sometimes sports are awfully simple, and that was the case with goals No. 2 and 3 of Euro 2020 for Harry Kane. After the England captain and reigning World Cup and Premier League golden boot winner went 463 minutes without a goal for his country, his game-sealing goal against Germany led to a massive relief inside Wembley, and seemingly, inside Kane's head.

That relief was clear to see on Kane's face as he tore off in celebration after scoring in the 86th minute against Germany. Kane's relief to open his goal-scoring account was reaffirmed in the fourth minute against Ukraine, when he got on the end of a fantastic through ball from Raheem Sterling and, with great composure, lofted his second of the tournament over the 'keeper. Gone was the nervous, lethargic player who began the tournament; the clinical finisher had returned. 

Kane added another and then nearly completed the hat-trick with a fantastic effort from outside the penalty area. (England would score their fourth from the ensuing corner.) All Kane needed was one — now he has three, and count on him to add to that as he leads his country into the Euro 2020 final. 

PREDICTION: Harry Kane - Anytime goalscorer (+105)

Picks made on 7/3/2021 at 5:30 p.m. ET

Euro 2020 betting sites

As a signature tournament for the most popular sport in the world, almost every online sportsbook and betting site will offer odds for Euro 2020. Check out the best soccer betting sites available where you live.

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James Bisson
Head of Content, Betting

James Bisson is the Editor-in-Chief at Covers. He has been a writer, reporter and editor for more than 20 years, including a nine-year stint with The Canadian Press and more than five years at theScore. He has covered dozens of marquee events including the 2010 Winter Olympics, the 2006 Stanley Cup final and Wrestlemania 23, and his work has appeared in more than 200 publications, including the Los Angeles Times, the Guardian, Yahoo! Sports, the Toronto Star and The Globe and Mail.

His book, “100 Greatest Canadian Sports Moments”, was a hardcover best-seller in Canada in 2008 and earned him appearances on CBC Radio and Canada AM. He has written more than 50 sportsbook reviews, more than 200 industry news articles, and dozens of other sportsbook-related content articles.

A graduate of the broadcast journalism program at Ryerson University (now Toronto Metropolitan University), James has been an avid bettor since the early 2000s, and cites bet365 as his favorite sports betting site due to its superior functionality and quick payouts. His biggest professional highlight: Covering Canada's first Olympic gold medal on home soil – and interviewing Bret Hart. Twice.

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