Denmark vs Belgium Euro 2020 Tips and Predictions: Romelu Empire

James Bisson - Head of Content, Betting
James Bisson • Head of Content, Betting 16+ years betting experience
Updated: Jun 15, 2021 , 08:40 PM ET • 5 min read

Romelu Lukaku has 40 goals in his last 38 games for Belgium, as the Belgians continue to cruise to victories with ease. Can they punch their ticket to the Round of 16 on Thursday? Check out our tips and predictions for Denmark vs. Belgium.

Romelu Lukaku Belgium national team soccer Euros
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Denmark faces the difficult challenge of continuing their Euro tournament after the traumatic events of their first game. They will remain in Copenhagen and welcome Group B leaders Belgium, who could punch their ticket into the Round of 16 with a win on Thursday.

Can Denmark handle incredibly difficult circumstances and get a result in front of their home support? Check out our tips and predictions for Denmark vs. Belgium on June 17. 

Denmark vs Belgium game info

Location: Parken, Copenhagen, Denmark
Date: Thursday, June 17, 2021
Time: 12:00 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN, TSN 1/3

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Denmark vs Belgium betting tips

  • Belgium (+100)
  • Belgium -1.5 (+280)

Read on for complete analysis

Denmark vs Belgium odds

Denmark: +320
Belgium: +100
Draw: +225

Total: 2.5
Over 2.5: +120
Under 2.5: -150

Odds as of June 15, 2021, at 6:10 p.m. ET.

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Euro 2020 sharp money and line movement report

By Patrick Everson

As of 10:45 a.m. ET, 75 minutes before this match begins, BetMGM has Belgium a -105 favorite, Denmark a +325 underdog and Draw +230. It's all Belgium on the three-way moneyline, with the favored side taking 81 percent of tickets and 86 percent of cash. The Danes are drawing just 9 percent of tickets/6 percent of money, and Draw is taking 10 percent of tickets/8 percent of money. The total is at 2.5 (Under -175), with ticket count almost dead even and 69 percent of dollars on the Under.

Denmark vs Belgium betting preview

Weather

It is set to be a sunny, calm night in Copenhagen on Thursday, with temperatures expected around 75 degrees Fahrenheit.

Key injuries

Denmark: Christian Eriksen (Out).
Belgium: Kevin De Bruyne (Questionable), Timothy Castagne (Out), Axel Witsel (Out).

Denmark vs Belgium matchup

Denmark   Belgium
10 World Ranking 1
0 Goals For 3
1 Goals Against 0
0-1 loss vs. Finland Previous Game 3-0 vs. Russia
Simon Kjaer Player to Watch Romelu Lukaku

Denmark vs Belgium predictions

Moneyline pick

Belgium were without their first-choice midfield pair to begin the Euros, with Kevin De Bruyne and Axel Witsel sidelined, and it did not matter at all. Youri Tielemans pulled the strings from midfield brilliantly, Thorgan Hazard dribbled through Russia like his brother, and Romelu Lukaku continued to prove he is a lethal combination of ability and intelligence. 

With an absurd list of attacking talent and an experienced, well-drilled backline, Belgium's midfield — missing talisman De Bruyne and his partner, Witsel — could have been the team's one weakness heading into the first match. Instead, as he has since he was a teenager, Tielemans stepped up without problems, while his partner, Leander Dendoncker, played alongside him brilliantly.

Lukaku, with goals No. 39 and 40 in his last 38 games for Belgium, tied it all together as the attack's focal point, bringing the midfield into attack in possession and allowing Hazard, Dries Mertens and Yannick Carrasco to make forward runs. 

On paper, entering the Euros, Belgium looked like they would only be tested by a few teams — at most. Without their best player in the opening match, they only furthered that notion.

For Denmark, there is no denying the impact the events of Saturday will have moving forward. They were, understandably, visibly shaken in completing their match against Finland after it was suspended. It's difficult to think a few days will change much at all, though news of Erikson's condition will be a boost compared to the uncertainty that existed on Saturday. 

Really, regardless of the status of Denmark's squad ahead of this game, getting Belgium on the moneyline at plus-money is absolutely wild. Don't hesitate in backing one of the world's best teams. 

PREDICTION: Belgium (+100)

Alternative spread

In Belgium's 14 competitive matches since the 2018 World Cup, the Red Devils have won 13 and drawn once, with an average margin of victory of 3.8 goals. While a 1-1 draw against the Czech Republic in Prague is the lone blemish, all 13 of Belgium's wins during that span came by two goals or more.

Against Russia, Belgium were missing their most creative player in De Bruyne and didn't seem to really hit their highest possible level. Yet, they were absolutely clinical in the penalty area, converting three of their four shots on target in a 3-0 win, with an expected goals of just 1.8. 

Denmark's defensive stability shouldn't be overlooked, with seven clean sheets in their last 12 competitive fixtures. The midfield pair of Thomas Delany and Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg make up a strong defensive double pivot, the backline led by Simon Kjaer is disciplined, and Kasper Schmeichel is a superb shot-stopper. 

However, similar to Belgium's odds on the moneyline, regardless of Denmark's status as a squad, getting such great value on one of the world's best teams to win by two goals — which they regularly do — is too good to pass up.

PREDICTION: Belgium -1.5 (+280)

Picks made on 6/15/2021 at 7:30 p.m. ET

Euro 2020 betting sites

As a signature tournament for the most popular sport in the world, almost every online sportsbook and betting site will offer odds for Euro 2020. Check out the best soccer betting sites available where you live.

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James Bisson
Head of Content, Betting

James Bisson is the Editor-in-Chief at Covers. He has been a writer, reporter and editor for more than 20 years, including a nine-year stint with The Canadian Press and more than five years at theScore. He has covered dozens of marquee events including the 2010 Winter Olympics, the 2006 Stanley Cup final and Wrestlemania 23, and his work has appeared in more than 200 publications, including the Los Angeles Times, the Guardian, Yahoo! Sports, the Toronto Star and The Globe and Mail.

His book, “100 Greatest Canadian Sports Moments”, was a hardcover best-seller in Canada in 2008 and earned him appearances on CBC Radio and Canada AM. He has written more than 50 sportsbook reviews, more than 200 industry news articles, and dozens of other sportsbook-related content articles.

A graduate of the broadcast journalism program at Ryerson University (now Toronto Metropolitan University), James has been an avid bettor since the early 2000s, and cites bet365 as his favorite sports betting site due to its superior functionality and quick payouts. His biggest professional highlight: Covering Canada's first Olympic gold medal on home soil – and interviewing Bret Hart. Twice.

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