Aston Villa and Liverpool are set to battle under the floodlights tonight at Villa Park. With both teams still having plenty to fight for this season, will Villa’s European humbling linger into our Aston Villa vs. Liverpool prediction?
Find out in our EPL predictions for Monday, May 13.
EPL predictions for Aston Villa vs Liverpool
My best bet:
Liverpool moneyline (-139 at BETANO)
My analysis
We’ve got an exciting game under the floodlights on Monday but it looks very different from when it was first scheduled. Heading into this game Liverpool sit third in the Premier League, having self-destructed in the previous month and effectively eliminated themselves from title contention.
Likewise, Aston Villa are seven points clear of Spurs, who have a game in hand, and are very close to sealing that fourth spot and Champions League action next season. Like Liverpool, their fate can be confirmed on Saturday if the results go their way.
These other results make it hard to know exactly how the players will feel when they line up at Villa Park on Monday, and what makes it even tougher to understand their mental state are recent events. Villa got humbled 6-2 over two semi-final legs by Olympiacos and their Europa Conference League dreams are in pieces. Likewise, Liverpool’s players know that they have just two games left with Jurgen Klopp as manager, and the departure of the German has undeniably impacted their season.
When it comes to kick-off I’d argue that we’re likely to see a very attacking game from both teams. Villa enter this game hurt and wanting to prove a point following their European capitulation, while Liverpool will be trying their very best to end the season on a high, regardless of results going their way at the weekend.
It’s been an impressive season for Villa but Liverpool have been sensational at times, They will come out here and really get stuck into Villa. They are the better team, they aren’t coming into this off a mentally tough European defeat and crucially they would have had eight days rest compared with Villa’s three, something which will have a huge impact at this stage of the season.
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Aston Villa vs Liverpool same-game parlay (SGP)
We’re going to include Mohamed Salah to score in our SGP. You have to wonder if we’re taking Mohamed Salah for granted at this point. He’s scored 18 Premier League goals this season, more than anybody else at the club, and has 10 assists, again the most at the club. If anyone’s likely to score it’s him, especially after a week’s rest and having scored against Spurs last time out.
We’re also going to back Aston Villa to score, although it won’t be enough for them to win the game. Liverpool have been poor at the back recently and Both teams to score has landed in 72.2% of their away games this season, with the opposition scoring in six of their past seven league games away from home.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Aston Villa vs Liverpool odds
Aston Villa vs Liverpool live odds
Aston Villa vs Liverpool opening odds
- Moneyline: Aston Villa +250 | Liverpool -110
- Draw: +300
- Over/Under: Over 2.5 | Under 2.5
Aston Villa vs Liverpool side and Over/Under analysis
- Liverpool are -139 favorites with Aston Villa available at +310 and the draw at +350.
- Aston Villa and Liverpool have both won just twice in their last five Premier League games.
- Over 2.5 goals is most likely at -303 with Under 2.5 goals at +240.
- 61.1% of Liverpool’s away games have hit Over 2.5 goals and 77.8% of Aston Villa’s games at Villa Park.
Aston Villa vs Liverpool game info
Location: | Villa Park, Birmingham, England |
Date: | Monday, 5-13-2024 |
Time: | 3:00 p.m. ET |
TV: | Peacock Premium, fubo TV, Sling Blue, Hulu + Live TV |
Weather: | Rainy, cool conditions. |
Recent EPL form | L-D-W-W-D |
Recent EPL form | W-D-L-W-L |
Aston Villa vs Liverpool key injuries
Aston Villa: Emiliano Buendia FWR (Out), Boubacar Kamara CM (Out), Tyrone Mings CB (Out), Jacoob Ramsey CM (Out), Youri Tielemans CM (Out).
Liverpool: Joel Matip CB (Out), Thiago Alcantara CM (Out), Diogo Jota FWR (Out), Conor Bradley RB (Questionable).
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