Arsenal are looking to close the gap on EPL leaders Manchester City when they visit Nottingham Forest on Sunday.
The visitors have found some form, and my Nottingham Forest vs. Arsenal predictions back the Gunners to win a high-scoring encounter.
Read on for my free picks for Oct. 18, with kickoff scheduled for 11:30 a.m. ET on NBC.
| Pick |  Probability |
|---|---|
| Top pick: Arsenal to win | 60% |
| Over/Under: Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Combo: Arenal to win and Over 2.5 goals | 2.33x |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps. For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, see our odds calculator.
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal predictions
My Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal top pick: Arsenal to win (60% probability)
Arsenal have reacted like champions to their 3-0 defeat at Brighton a fortnight ago, which spells danger for Nottingham Forest.
Since that unexpectedly heavy loss on the south coast, the Gunners have got back on track with consecutive victories at home: 2-1 vs Leeds in the EPL last weekend, then 3-0 vs French Ligue 1 side Lille in the Champions League on Tuesday.
Nottingham Forest's 2026-27 home record is 0W-1D-2L. If they couldn't beat Coventry (0-1), Leeds (0-1), or Tottenham (0-0), what hope do they have against the side that clinched the EPL title last season?
Play this up to 65%.
My Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal Over/Under pick: Over 2.5 goals (50% probability)
Nottingham Forest are massively underachieving in front of goal, and I expect that to change.
Their expected goals (xG) for the season stand at 10.3, yet they have scored only five times. They have better finishers than their poor goal tally suggests, and I predict their conversion rate will improve, starting here.
Arsenal have averaged 2.1 goals per game across their 10 matches in all competitions. As under-pressure Forest chase the points they need to move into the EPL's top half, the visitors will get good counterattacking opportunities.
Play the Over up to 55%.
Start trading with Kalshi today!
Sign up now using our exclusive Kalshi promo code 'MAX60' and trade $25 on any event contracts to get $60!
*Eligible U.S. locations only
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal combo
Arsenal to win
Over 2.5 goals
England stars Bukayo Saka and Eberechi Eze scored in Arsenal's 3-0 midweek win over Lille and will look to take advantage of the home side's weaknesses at full-back.
Switzerland international Dan Ndoye is the main threat for Nottingham Forest. His chances of adding to the two EPL goals he has already scored this season are enhanced by the fact that Arsenal's top-class center-back William Saliba remains sidelined.
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal odds
Nottingham Forest
ArsenalOdds courtesy of Kalshi.
How to watch Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal
| Location | The City Ground, Nottingham, England |
| Date | Sunday, Oct. 18, 2026 |
| Time | 11:30 a.m. ET |
| TV | NBC |
| Weather | Clear playing conditions. |
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal key injuries
Nottingham Forest: Nicolo Savona, CB (Out); Igor Jesus, ST (Out); Morgan Gibbs-White, AM (Questionable).
Arsenal: William Saliba, CB (Out); Piero Hincapie, LB (Out); Christos Tzolis, LW (Out); Martin Zubimendi, CM (Questionable).
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
