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NFL Picks

Free NFL Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game Jan. 23, 2026

New England Patriots logo NE @ Denver Broncos logo DEN Sun, Jan 25 • 3:00 PM ET
16 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Rushing Yards
Marvin Mims Jr. logo Marvin Mims Jr. o2.5 Rushing Yards (+106)
Best Odds
o0.5 -118 BetMGM
Pick made: 21 hours ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst
o2.5  +110
o1.5  -110
o2.5  +106
o0.5  -118
o1.5  -110

Denver will have backup QB Jarrett Stidham under center so expect Sean Payton to use gadget plays to keep New England's defense on its heels. Marvin Mims Jr. had eight catches for 93 yards last week and Payton will look to get the ball into the hands of the speedy wideout on Sunday. Mims hasn't logged a rush attempt in his last three games but before that he had a carry in 10 straight games, rushing for 3+ yards in seven of those contests. The Patriots have a stingy run defense but are vulnerable on misdirection plays, allowing a league-high 8.5 yards per rush on counters. 

Field Goals Made
AB Andy Borregales o1.5 Field Goals Made (-130)
Best Odds
o1.5 -151 DraftKings
Pick made: 21 hours ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst
o1.5  -151
 -
 -
o1.5  -155
o1.5  -152

The Patriots offense hasn't been great in the postseason, struggling to move the chains against the Chargers and Texans while going a collective 1 for 4 in the red zone. Kicker Andy Borregales didn't attempt a FG in the Divisional Round but went 3 for 3 in the Wild Card and is kicking in perfect conditions with the thin air in Denver helping his distance. The Broncos are among the best red-zone defenses in the NFL and the Patriots scored a TD on just 55.22% of their RZ trips (22nd). 

View 26 Picks
Los Angeles Rams logo LA @ Seattle Seahawks logo SEA Sun, Jan 25 • 6:30 PM ET
16 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Passing Attempts
Matthew Stafford logo Matthew Stafford o35.5 Passing Attempts (-113)
Best Odds
o35.5 -113 FanDuel
Pick made: 20 hours ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst
o35.5  -118
o35.5  -115
o35.5  -113
o35.5  -115
o35.5  -120

Seattle's stop unit has been elite against the run, ranking first in the league in defensive rush EPA and success rate. If the Rams want to move the ball in this game, they'll have to do it through the air. Thankfully, they have MVP favorite and former Super Bowl champion Matthew Stafford under center. Stafford has thrown at least 38 passes in each of his last six games. That includes Week 16 at Lumen Field when he completed 29 of 49 passes (43 in regulation) for 457 yards.

MoneyLine
Seattle Seahawks logo SEA (-138)
Best Odds
 -140 bet365
Pick made: 21 hours ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst
 -148
 -140
 -142
 -145
 -145

Home field and superior defense goes a long way in the playoffs, especially with a road-weary Rams team traveling to Lumen Field. Seattle can run the ball against a Rams stop unit showing cracks. We’ve seen L.A. get pushed around on the ground, and even with Charbonnet out, Seattle’s offensive line is powering this offense. Seattle plays keep-away from Stafford, makes L.A. go pass-heavy and one-dimensional, and wins outright.

View 26 Picks

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