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NFL Picks

Free NFL Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game Nov. 25, 2025

Green Bay Packers logo GB @ Detroit Lions logo DET Thu, Nov 27 • 1:00 PM ET
1 Expert Pick
Total
Green Bay Packers logo Detroit Lions logo o48.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

The Detroit Lions and Green Bay Packers combined for 65 points in their last head-to-head meeting, with each team moving the ball at will. Detroit averaged a league-high 33.2 points per game last season, and all the key pieces are back for Dan Campbell's squad. On the other sideline, the Packers added to their young receiving corps by drafting wideout Matthew Golden in the first round. With both offenses set to fire on all cylinders, expect a high-scoring affair inside Ford Field on Turkey Day.

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Kansas City Chiefs logo KC @ Dallas Cowboys logo DAL Thu, Nov 27 • 4:30 PM ET
1 Expert Pick
Total
Kansas City Chiefs logo Dallas Cowboys logo o47.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Although the Dallas Cowboys' defense will be more stable under new defensive coordinator Matt Eberflus, it's hard to overlook a unit that was gashed on the ground and allowed a bottom-five mark in yards per play last season. Patrick Mahomes will torch them on the fast track at Jerry World, boasting a deep arsenal that includes a now-healthy Rashee Rice. With George Pickens joining CeeDee Lamb to bolster the Cowboys’ receiving corps, Dak Prescott should also be able to air it out — even if much of the damage comes in classic garbage-time mop-up duty at AT&T Stadium. The Kansas City Chiefs' defense lost key veterans in the secondary, including corner Charvarius Ward and safety Justin Reid. While their younger replacements may eventually settle into Steve Spagnuolo's system, it could take some time for them to get fully up to speed.

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Cincinnati Bengals logo CIN @ Baltimore Ravens logo BAL Thu, Nov 27 • 8:20 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Receiving Yards
Mark Andrews logo Mark Andrews o37.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
Joe Osborne image
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst

This is a great spot for Andrews to bounce back against the league's worst defense at defending the tight end position. Cincinatti is allowing a league-high 87.4 receiving yards to the position which is a rediculous 17 more yards than the next closest team. They've allowed two seperate TEs to go for 100+ yards in their last three games. Andrews has underwhemled this season but is still second on the team in targets. He's topped 37.5 yards in seven of his last eight games against the Bengals.

Spread
Baltimore Ravens logo BAL -5.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

The Cincinnati Bengals have lost their last four games against the Baltimore Ravens and are just 4-6 ATS in their last 10 head-to-head matchups with their AFC North rivals. With Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry spearheading a loaded offense, Baltimore's defense should also see a boost following the draft selections of safety Malaki Starks and edge rusher Mike Green. Back the Ravens to cover at home, where they went 5-3-1 ATS last season.

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Chicago Bears logo CHI @ Philadelphia Eagles logo PHI Fri, Nov 28 • 3:00 PM ET
1 Expert Pick
Spread
Chicago Bears logo CHI +7.0 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

The Bears will have a new HC in Ben Johnson, and many people hold him in high regard for his ability to run an offense. He'll have a full complement of weapons to work with, including Caleb Williams, DJ Moore, Rome Odunze, and Cole Kmet. And on defense, they should be stout in the trenches and on the outside. The Eagles, fresh off their Super Bowl victory, could be in for a letdown this year, and while this November clash is three months into the season, things could snowball if the team isn't 100% focused from Week 1. 

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Jacksonville Jaguars logo JAC @ Tennessee Titans logo TEN Sun, Nov 30 • 1:00 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
Jacksonville Jaguars logo Tennessee Titans logo o41.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
Jason Ence image
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst

Jacksonville ranks 12th in scoring with the Titans ranking 29th, allowing more than three touchdowns a game.


Jacksonville’s red zone defense has been poor, with opponents scoring touchdowns on nearly 62% of their visits. And while Tennessee hasn’t cashed in at a high rate, the frailties in this Jaguar secondary raise the odds of scoring chances improving.


The Jaguars should thrive off play action against a struggling Titan run defense. Tennessee also throws the ball at the second-highest rate in the league. The strengths of the two offenses match up perfectly with the weaknesses of the opposing defenses, which makes the low total a bit too low for me. 

 

Spread
Jacksonville Jaguars logo JAC -6.5 (-118)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
Jason Ence image
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst

As long as the spread is under a touchdown, I’ll take the Jaguars to cover. They’re now unbeaten ATS on the road, with three wins and a push, after the three-point win over the Cardinals. Jacksonville also will hurt the Titans on the ground, where they rank 27th in yards per carry and 31st in rushing scores allowed. 


Tennessee is also one of the most penalized teams in the NFL. The Titans rank 31st in sack rate allowed, and their poor rushing attack will make them one-dimensional against Jacksonville’s Top 5 rushing defense. And while Trevor Lawrence is turnover prone, this Titan defense doesn’t force many. 


Cam Ward will find some success, but he’s going to be under pressure far too often in obvious passing situations. The Titans might yet again threaten a backdoor cover, but I expect Jacksonville to win by a touchdown or more. 

 

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Houston Texans logo HOU @ Indianapolis Colts logo IND Sun, Nov 30 • 1:00 PM ET
4 Expert Picks
Spread
Houston Texans logo HOU +4.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

The Colts have the highest-scoring offense in the NFL but the Texans have one of the best defenses in the league with the ability to contain Jonathan Taylor. Houston's offense also gets a major boost this week with franchise QB CJ Stroud expected to return after missing the last three weeks. They were able to win three in a row despite having Davis Mills under center. With Stroud back, they'll be better suited to take advantage of a Colts defense that ranks 24th in success rate. Indy is atop the AFC South but the final six weeks will be crucial with four games against Jacksonville and Houston. This should be a dog-fight between two division rivals who have a lot at stake. 

Total
Houston Texans logo Indianapolis Colts logo u44.5 (-108)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Jeremy Jones image
Jeremy Jones
Betting Analyst

The Texans thrive in playing low scoring game and are going to do everything possible to keep this game low scoring so they can stay competitive. 

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Minnesota Vikings logo MIN @ Seattle Seahawks logo SEA Sun, Nov 30 • 4:05 PM ET
1 Expert Pick
Total
Minnesota Vikings logo Seattle Seahawks logo u43.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

J.J. McCarthy finished 12-for-19 passing for a measly 87 yards along with two interceptions in the road loss at Green Bay in Week 12. The Vikings has failed to crack 20 points in three straight games and now head to Lumen Field to take on another elite defense. The Seahawks got a bit of a scare in Tennessee on Sunday but still limited the Titans to 17 points on offense, checking them to 4.4 yards per play and sacking rookie QB Cam Ward four times. Sam Darnold takes on his former club and needs to be wary of the Vikings’ blitz-heavy schemes. That means quicker hits and lots of handoffs, with little time in the pocket for deeper strikes to develop. This total opened just shy of the key number of 44 points and is already sinking like a stone in the opening hours of action. Grab the Under 43.5 now, as the next stop is 42.5 with little reason to like the Over.

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Las Vegas Raiders logo LV @ Los Angeles Chargers logo LAC Sun, Nov 30 • 4:25 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
Las Vegas Raiders logo Los Angeles Chargers logo u41.5 (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 hours ago
Sam Farley image
Sam Farley
Betting Analyst

The Raiders are the NFL's lowest scoring team, averaging just 15 points per game, and won't put up enough points to hit the Over on the total.

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Denver Broncos logo DEN @ Washington Commanders logo WAS Sun, Nov 30 • 8:20 PM ET
1 Expert Pick
Spread
Denver Broncos logo DEN -6.5 (-106)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Denver sends an elite defense out against Washington and backup quarterback Marcus Mariota. The Broncos are fourth in defensive DVOA and have allowed the third-fewest points per game, so I expect Mariota to struggle Sunday. Of course, Denver also has the highest pressure percentage in the league and paces the NFL in sacks.

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New York Giants logo NYG @ New England Patriots logo NE Mon, Dec 1 • 8:15 PM ET
1 Expert Pick
Spread
New England Patriots logo NE -7.5 (-103)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants haven’t won on the road all season, and the Pats have rolled off nine straight wins with quarterback Drake Maye pacing the NFL in adjusted EPA per play and completion percentage during the run. Plus, New York entered Week 12 ranked 28th in defensive DVOA and has allowed the third-most points per game.

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Dallas Cowboys logo DAL @ Washington Commanders logo WAS Thu, Dec 25 • 1:00 PM ET
1 Expert Pick
Spread
Washington Commanders logo WAS -3.5 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

The Washington Commanders bolstered their offense by adding Pro Bowl tackle Laremy Tunsil and wide receiver Deebo Samuel, while also re-signing reliable safety valve Zach Ertz. Meanwhile, the Dallas Cowboys were torched both on the ground and through the air in 2024, and they did little to address those issues through free agency or the draft. Expect the Commanders to roll and cover the spread at home. Dallas finished just 7-10 against the spread in 2024, while Washington rewarded bettors with a 10-6 ATS record.

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Detroit Lions logo DET @ Minnesota Vikings logo MIN Thu, Dec 25 • 4:30 PM ET
1 Expert Pick
Spread
Detroit Lions logo DET -3.0 (-102)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Although the Detroit Lions lost offensive coordinator Ben Johnson to Chicago, it was the defense — not the offense — that ultimately led to their playoff downfall last season. The return of star pass rusher Aidan Hutchinson will be especially important, and I expect Detroit’s front four to make life tough for J.J. McCarthy on Christmas Day. Even against the Minnesota Vikings’ elite defense, Jared Goff had no trouble moving the ball last season, with the Lions putting up 30+ points in both matchups. Back Detroit to cover and secure the road win at U.S. Bank Stadium.

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Denver Broncos logo DEN @ Kansas City Chiefs logo KC Thu, Dec 25 • 8:15 PM ET
1 Expert Pick
Spread
Denver Broncos logo DEN +4.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Don’t be fooled by the Kansas City Chiefs’ 15-2 record last season, as Patrick Mahomes & Co. finished just 8-9 ATS for bettors. That mark included a narrow 19-17 win over Vegas in last year’s Black Friday matchup, as well as a 16-14 victory over Denver following a blocked field goal at the buzzer that saved Kansas City from an upset loss as 7.5-point home favorites. The Chiefs are coming off three consecutive Super Bowl appearances, and fatigue is bound to set in for Andy Reid’s team this season. Meanwhile, the Broncos have built off a 10-7 campaign (12-6 ATS) by adding Pro Bowl tight end Evan Engram and bolstering their already elite defense with linebacker Dre Greenlaw and safety Talanoa Hufanga. I wouldn’t be surprised if Denver is leading the AFC West by the time Christmas rolls around, so I’ll take the Broncos at +4.5.

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