Free NFL Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game Jan. 5, 2026
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Sun, Jan 4 • 8:20 PM ET
Isaiah Likely Score a Touchdown (Yes: +430)
Likely led Baltimore’s tight ends with 53 snaps in last week’s win over Green Bay and drew three targets for three catches and 27 yards. He also had a good game in his last matchup with the Steelers back in Week 14, snatching four of six passes his way (second most targets) for 25 yards and a touchdown. Pittsburgh has been picked on by TEs this season, giving up the third most receptions and fourth most receiving yards to the position while watching opposing tight ends score 11 touchdowns (tied for third most in the NFL). For what it’s worth, Likely has played in seven regular season matchups with the Steelers during his pro career and has four total touchdowns in those games. That’s 27% of his career 15 TDs coming versus this AFC North foe.
Jaylen Warren Score a Touchdown (Yes: +200)
With the Pittsburgh passing game down some key receivers, the Steelers will lean on the ground attack while also hoping to squeeze some receptions from the running backs in Week 18. Warren can do it all and enters the season finale with eight total touchdowns on the year – six rushing and two receiving. One of those TD catches came against Baltimore in Week 14, with the Ravens allowing the third most receptions to RBs this year. While backfield buddy Kenneth Gainwell does eat into Warren’s touches, especially when it comes to passing plays, he continues to get the red zone carries. Warren is also a threat to explode for a huge run, as he showed with two 45-yard touchdown sprints against Detroit in Week 16.
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