The Edmonton Oilers and Dallas Stars will meet in the Western Conference Final for a second consecutive spring, and they’ll hit the ice at the American Airlines Center for Game 1 on Wednesday, May 21.
Edmonton is rolling along a 7-1 postseason stretch, while Dallas has gone 6-1 on home ice in the playoffs.
My Oilers vs. Stars predictions and best NHL picks expect a close, low-scoring game in the series opener.
Who will win Oilers vs Stars Game 1
I believe Edmonton is good enough to leave Dallas with a split, but I don't think they'll snag Game 1. The Stars have been money on home ice, and No. 1 Jake Oettinger has posted a high-end .941 save percentage and 1.59 GAA during his five-game winning streak at American Airlines.
Oilers vs Stars prediction
My Oilers vs Stars pick: Under 6.5 (-130 at BET99)
The Dallas Stars received a huge boost with the return of No. 1 defenseman Miro Heiskanen, and he logged more minutes in consecutive contests after his postseason debut in Game 4 against the Winnipeg Jets.
Dallas has also been dominant on home ice with just 2.29 goals against per game and a 90.0 penalty-kill percentage through seven postseason contests at the American Airlines Center. Stars No. 1 Jake Oettinger has also been spectacular with a .924 save percentage in the Lone Star State.
While Goaltending remains the elephant in the room for the Edmonton Oilers, Stuart Skinner turned in consecutive shutouts to close out the Vegas Golden Knights, and the Oil have been exceptional at five-on-five with a 59.0 expected goals percentage during their active 8-1 stretch.
Obviously there is oodles of offensive talent on both teams. I’m just anticipating both head coaches to be preaching patience and playing sound defensively. This is the second consecutive year the Stars and Oilers have met in the Western Conference Final, and the Oilers have played to the Under in 33 of their last 55 away games (+10.90 Units / 18% ROI).
There were also six goals or fewer in five of six Round 2 games between the Stars and Jets.
Oilers vs Stars same-game parlay (SGP)
Stars moneyline
Under 6.5
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins Over 0.5 points
This has the potential to be a long series, and Dallas has been off since winning Saturday, so I’m expecting the Stars to be rested. As discussed, Dallas has been next to automatic on home ice, and Edmonton hasn’t been as sharp on the road this postseason.
The Oilers have allowed 3.17 goals per road game, after all.
Turning to the final leg of this same-game parlay, mixing in Edmonton forward Ryan Nugent-Hopkins with a pair of uncorrelated legs creates a huge multiplier. Nugent-Hopkins is also projected to skate with Connor McDavid on the top line and No. 1 power-play unit, too.
The duo has been on the ice for 7.96 goals per 60 minutes this postseason, and Nugent-Hopkins has only been on for 1.94 per 60 when he hasn’t jumped the boards with McDavid, so it’s obviously a nice boon for RNH’s offensive upside going into Game 1.
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Oilers vs Stars odds
Oilers vs Stars live odds
Oilers vs Stars opening odds
- Puck line: Edmonton +1.5 (-235) | Dallas -1.5 (+190)
- Moneyline: Edmonton +109 | Dallas -123
- Over/Under: Over 6.5 | Under 6.5
Odds courtesy of BET99
Oilers vs Stars trend
The Edmonton Oilers have hit the Under in 33 of their last 55 away games (+10.90 Units / 18% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Oilers vs. Stars.
How to watch Oilers vs Stars
| Location | American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX |
| Date | Wednesday, 5-21-2025 |
| Puck drop | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN, SN |
Oilers vs Stars latest injuries
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