Oilers vs Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks & Same-Game Parlay for Tonight’s NHL Game

Auston Matthews and Connor McDavid square up tonight, but it's the former that has our attention in these Oilers vs. Maple Leafs predictions.

Mike DiStefano - Contributor at Covers.com
Mike DiStefano • Betting Analyst
Dec 13, 2025 • 13:15 ET • 3 min read

NHL

Match starts: 4 hrs
TOR
59 %
EDM
41 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Auston Matthews o3.5  Shots On Goal (-150) Auston Matthews o3.5 Shots On Goal (-150)
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Toronto Maple Leafs forward Auston Matthews (34) chases after the puck as San Jose Sharks forward Ty Dellandrea (10) looks on during the second period at Scotiabank Arena.
Photo By - Imagn Images. Toronto Maple Leafs forward Auston Matthews (34) chases after the puck as San Jose Sharks forward Ty Dellandrea (10) looks on during the second period at Scotiabank Arena.

We're in for a cross-conference clash between the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Edmonton Oilers.

It’s always a team to watch Auston Matthews and Connor McDavid go head-to-head, but it’s the former I’m backing in my Oilers vs. Maple Leafs predictions.

Find out why with my free NHL picks for this December 13 matchup.

Oilers vs Maple Leafs prediction

Oilers vs Maple Leafs best bet: Auston Matthews Over 3.5 shots (-150)

Auston Matthews is starting to look like a premier player again. He’s scored four times in his last six games, leading the NHL in scoring chances in that span.

His willingness to shoot the puck again has been a big reason for this most recent outbreak.

Matthews is averaging 4.6 shots per game in his last six outings, registering four or more shots to clear tonight's posted total in five of those outings.

Additionally, the Edmonton Oilers have struggled defending this season, ranking near the bottom of the league in most defensive metrics — allowing 28.4 shots per game over their last 10 outings. 

Matthews himself has been dominant in this matchup. The Toronto Maple Leafs are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between the two clubs, and it’s largely due to Matthews’ seven goals and 15-point output, while averaging 4.7 shots per contest. 

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Oilers vs Maple Leafs same-game parlay

John Tavares has hit this total in 18 of his last 23 games, averaging 2.83 shots per game. 

The Oilers haven’t played well on the road this season, and the Leafs have won seven of the last 10 meetings between these two teams. 

Oilers vs Maple Leafs SGP

  • Auston Matthews Over 3.5 shots
  • John Tavares Over 2.5 shots
  • Maple Leafs moneyline

Oilers vs Maple Leafs odds

  • Moneyline: Oilers -130 | Maple Leafs +110
  • Puck Line: Oilers -1.5 (+180) | Maple Leafs +1.5 (-220)
  • Over/Under: Over 6.5 (-105) | Under 6.5 (-115)

Oilers vs Maple Leafs trend

The Over is 35-24-2 combined between the two teams this season. Find more NHL betting trends for Oilers vs. Maple Leafs.

How to watch Oilers vs Maple Leafs

Location Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON
Date Saturday, December 13, 2025
Puck drop 7:00 p.m. ET
TV CBC

Oilers vs Maple Leafs latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Mike DiStefano - Covers
Betting Analyst

Mike DiStefano joins Covers after a successful five-year stint with TSN. Distefano hosted Leafs Lunch, a Toronto Maple Leafs-centric radio show which featured a daily best bets segment where he found the biggest and best value plays of the night. He was also a weekly staple on TSN's flagship radio/tv show "OverDrive" as a betting analyst during their NFL picks segment #TeamAl-DogForever.

A graduate of Centennial College’s Sports Journalism program, Mike has also contributed to the Canadian Baseball Network, FanSided, and The Hockey News.

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