We’ve got 10 games on the NHL betting slate tonight, including an Eastern Conference matchup between the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Carolina Hurricanes.
This is a tough matchup for Toronto, and my Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanes predictions believe Carolina’s puck-dominant style of play should keep Joseph Woll plenty busy between the pipes tonight.
Find out why with my free NHL picks for Tuesday, December 4.
Maple Leafs vs Hurricanes prediction
Maple Leafs vs Hurricanes Best bet: Joseph Woll O 28.5 saves (-120)
No team in the NHL has played at the same level of consistency for nearly a decade like the Carolina Hurricanes.
Head coach Rod Brind’Amore has his systems, and the Canes execute them to perfection year after year, and this season is no different.
Carolina is 16-7-2 and atop of the Metro standings. They’re averaging 3.4 goals per game and a staggering 33.2 shots on net this season, ranking them second in the league behind only Colorado.
This is largely due to Carolina dominating the possession game this season with 45.7% offensive zone time, per NHL Edge, which is the best mark in the league
The Toronto Maple Leafs, however, rank 26th in D-zone time, which has resulted in the Leafs surrendering the 2nd most shots on goal per game this season, allowing an average of 31.2 per game.
In other words, the Leafs spend too much time in their own zone and give up too many shots. Meanwhile, Carolina spends the most time in the opposition's end rifling pucks on goal at high volumes.
Enter Joseph Woll, the Leafs’ projected starter tonight in Carolina. If these trends continue, the Canes should spend a lot of time in the Leafs' end tonight to keep Woll busy.
His save total is set at 28.5, and I think he goes over that number. The Leafs have surrendered 30+ shots in five of Woll’s seven starts this season, and I don’t expect that trend to change against one of the more dominant teams in hockey.
The Leafs are also still without top defenders Chris Tanev and Brandon Carlo. I think that’ll be exposed more tonight than in their two previous games, leading to a loft shot total for the Canes.
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Maple Leafs vs Hurricanes same-game parlay
I'll add John Tavares going over 2.5 shots on goal to my SGP. The Leafs’ veteran leads the team with 80 shots this year and has gone over tonight’s posted total 11 times in his last 13 games. So we’ll add that to the SGP.
For the final leg, I’ll take the Leafs on the puck line. They’ve played better hockey lately, and Carolina has been in a lot of tight games, covering their -1.5 line just once over their last nine games.
Maple Leafs vs Hurricanes SGP
- Woll Over 28.5 saves
- Tavares Over 2.5 shots
- Leafs +1.5
Maple Leafs vs Hurricanes odds
- Moneyline: Maple Leafs +185 | Hurricanes -225
- Puck Line: Maple Leafs +1.5 (-130) | Hurricanes -1.5 (+110)
- Over/Under: Over 6.5 | Under 6.5
Maple Leafs vs Hurricanes trend
The Hurricanes are 6-4 on the moneyline over the last 10 meetings between the two teams. Find more NHL betting trends for Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanes.
How to watch Maple Leafs vs Hurricanes
| Location | Lenovo Center, Raleigh, NC |
| Date | Thursday, December 4, 2025 |
| Puck drop | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | TSN4, FDSN South |
Maple Leafs vs Hurricanes latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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