Maple Leafs vs Bruins Prediction, Picks & Same-Game Parlay for Tonight’s NHL Game

Matthew Knies has fit like a glove next to Auston Matthews and William Nylander, and he'll add another assist to his total in Beantown.

Mike DiStefano - Contributor at Covers.com
Mike DiStefano • Betting Analyst
Nov 11, 2025 • 11:58 ET • 3 min read

NHL

Match starts: 3 hrs
BOS
62 %
TOR
38 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Matthew Knies o0.5  Assists (+125) Matthew Knies o0.5 Assists (+125)
Read Analysis
Toronto Maple Leafs forward Matthew Knies (23) pursues the play against the Boston Bruins in the first period at Scotiabank Arena.
Photo By - Imagn Images. Toronto Maple Leafs forward Matthew Knies (23) pursues the play against the Boston Bruins in the first period at Scotiabank Arena.

We’ve got an Original Six rivalry between the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Boston Bruins on tap for November 11.

Matthew Knies has been Mr. Consistent for the Leafs this season and has certainly grown as a playmaker since being paired next to Auston Matthews and William Nylander. 

My Maple Leafs vs. Bruins predictions and NHL picks back Knies to record another apple tonight.

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Maple Leafs vs Bruins prediction

Maple Leafs vs Bruins Best bet: Matthew Knies Over 0.5 assists (+125)

Matthew Knies has arguably been the most consistent Toronto Maple Leafs player in the lineup this season.

The Leafs winger is sixth in the NHL in assists, having gone Over the 0.5 posted total in seven of his last eight games, collecting nine helpers over that span. 

Additionally, Knies has been a handful for the Boston Bruins over the years, collecting five assists and 12 points in his last 10 games against the B’s. 

As for the Bruins, they’re winning games, but the underlying numbers suggest regression is imminent. They rank 27th in xGA, while ranking 28th and 26th in scoring chances allowed and high-danger chances given up, respectively. 

The Leafs haven’t had issues finishing on their chances either, averaging 3.67 goals per game. I expect some offense from Toronto tonight, and Knies is surely to be a part of it. 

Maple Leafs vs Bruins same-game parlay

I’ll also jump on the Morgan Rielly train and take him to get an assist as well. He’s on a five-game point streak with seven assists in that stretch, including two against Boston on Saturday. 

I’ll add Over 2.5 shots for John Tavares as the final leg of the SGP. He’s averaging 3.8 shots per game, going over the posted total in nine of his last 10 contests.  

Maple Leafs vs Bruins SGP

  • Matthew Knies Over 0.5 assists
  • Morgan Rielly Over 0.5 assists
  • John Tavares Over 2.5 shots

Maple Leafs vs Bruins odds

  • Moneyline: Maple Leafs -135 | Bruins +115
  • Puck Line: Maple Leafs -1.5 (+175) | Bruins +1.5 (-215)
  • Over/Under: Over 6.5 (+100) | Under 6.5 (-120)

Maple Leafs vs Bruins trend

The Over is a combined 17-3 between the Leafs and Bruins over their last 10 games. Find more NHL betting trends for Maple Leafs vs. Bruins.

How to watch Maple Leafs vs Bruins

Location TD Garden, Boston, MA
Date Tuesday, November 11, 2025
Puck drop 7:00 p.m. ET
TV TNT

Maple Leafs vs Bruins latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Mike DiStefano - Covers
Betting Analyst

Mike DiStefano joins Covers after a successful five-year stint with TSN. Distefano hosted Leafs Lunch, a Toronto Maple Leafs-centric radio show which featured a daily best bets segment where he found the biggest and best value plays of the night. He was also a weekly staple on TSN's flagship radio/tv show "OverDrive" as a betting analyst during their NFL picks segment #TeamAl-DogForever.

A graduate of Centennial College’s Sports Journalism program, Mike has also contributed to the Canadian Baseball Network, FanSided, and The Hockey News.

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