The Colorado Avalanche are sizable road favorites over the Philadelphia Flyers ahead of their 7 p.m. ET clash at Xfinity Mobile Arena on Monday, Oct. 19.
My favorite Avalanche vs. Flyers prediction and NHL picks call for Colorado to convincingly defeat an overmatched Philadelphia tonight.
TOP PICK
Avalanche vs Flyers prediction: Avalanche -1.5
The Philadelphia Flyers rank last in both Corsi For percentage and expected goals percentage at 5-on-5, while averaging just 1.4 goals per game during their 1-6-3 skid.
It’s a different story for the Colorado Avalanche.
The Avs rank second in goals per game and goals differential above expected at 5-on-5. I particularly like that starting goalie Mackenzie Blackwood is finding his game, with a .931 save percentage and 3.09 goals saved above expected across his past two starts.
Colorado wins comfortably tonight, and I’d recommend this puck line up to 50%.
COVERS INTEL: The Avalanche pace the NHL in axDiff, while the Flyers rank 29th.
Avalanche vs Flyers combo
Philadelphia's struggles to generate offense, combined with Blackwood’s improved play, pave the way for this Under. That's especially appealing given that the Flyers have also gone Under the total in 18 of their last 25 home games (+13.00 Units / 47% ROI) dating back to last season.
Turning to Colorado winger Martin Necas, he’s posted an elite 3.58 points per 60 minutes since the beginning of last year. He also jumps the boards in a go-to role alongside superstar Nathan MacKinnon.
Avalanche vs Flyers combo
- Avalanche -1.5
- Under 6.5
- Martin Necas 1+ points
Avalanche vs Flyers player prop: Joseph Woll 26+ saves
Flyers goalie Joseph Woll has posted a high-end .916 save percentage with 5.8 goals saved above expected through his first five starts. He’s set to see oodles of rubber tonight from the Avs.
Colorado ranks fourth in shots per game (30.8) and sixth in shot attempts per 60 minutes at 5-on-5.
I’d back Woll to record 26 or more saves up to 58%.
Avalanche vs Flyers goal scorer: Nazem Kadri
Despite Colorado veteran Nazem Kadri ranking second on the team in both individual expected goals (2.83) and high-danger scoring chances (11), he’s still looking for his first goal of the season.
Kadri is a staple on the No. 1 power-play unit, and the Flyers have spent the third-most time per game shorthanded. I’d recommend him to find the back of the net up to 30%.
- Top picks: 21-9, +17.76 units
- Combos: 2-9, -2.08 units
Avalanche vs Flyers odds
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
- Moneyline: Avalanche 69% | Flyers 32%
- Over/Under: Over 6.5 (45%) | Under 6.5 (56%)
- Spread: Avalanche -1.5 (47%) | Flyers +1.5 (54%)
For the full slate of NHL matchups, check out our NHL odds board!
Avalanche vs Flyers trend
The Avalanche have covered the puck line in 15 of their last 25 away games (+12.65 Units / 47% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends.
How to watch Avalanche vs Flyers
| Location | Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, PA |
| Date | Monday, Oct. 19, 2026 |
| Puck drop | 7 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBCSP, Sportsnet+ |
Avalanche vs Flyers latest injuries
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