The Philadelphia Eagles were an outstanding rushing team in the regular season, and that success has made the transfer to the playoffs so far.
Miles Sanders captains the backfield for the Eagles, so naturally, his rushing (and receiving) Super Bowl player props are of great interest.
Check out my Super Bowl picks for Sanders below, including an additional same-game parlay.
Miles Sanders Super Bowl 57 prop pick and same-game parlay
- Under 70.5 rushing + receiving yards
- Under 70.5 rush + rec/Under 13.5 carries/Gainwell Under 20.5 rushing yards
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Miles Sanders Super Bowl 57 best bet
The Philadelphia Eagles’ ground game has been the beneficiary of some incredibly positive game scripts in the playoffs, enabling them to pile up the yardage, but that feels due to change against the Kansas City Chiefs this Sunday.
Philly made some of its own luck against the Giants in the Divisional Round when they rushed for 268 yards as a team. But a combination of a bad New York offense and a solid Eagles defense meant Big Blue gained just 227 total yards in that tilt, taking pressure off Jalen Hurts & Co.
Miles Sanders rushed for 90 yards on 17 carries that day – he had previously gone for 144 yards on 17 attempts in the regular season against the Giants, before settling for 33 yards on 11 rushes in a Week 18 tune-up that the Eagles took semi-seriously.
Sanders followed that effort up with a two-touchdown day against a San Francisco 49ers team that was unable to keep its offense on the field in the NFC title game due to its quarterback situation. Even still, Sanders gained just 42 yards on the ground on 11 carries.
Barring some more injury luck for Philly, Patrick Mahomes & Co. will be putting the Eagles’ defense through its paces, potentially turning Super Bowl 57 into a track meet. If that’s the case, Jalen Hurts will have to drop back more often than he has in recent weeks.
Sanders has slowed down as the season has progressed, exceeding 70 combined rushing and receiving yards just twice in his last six games. One of those was a 71-yard effort against the Cowboys in Week 16.
The Penn State product has averaged 4.9 yards per rush this year, but in his last six games, that number is barely over 4.0. That means instead of needing 15 carries to get to 71 rushing yards, he would need 18 – a number he’s unlikely to reach if Kansas City’s offense is humming.
I don’t give much credence to Sanders’ receiving ability – he’s put up a double-digit receiving total in only four of his 19 games this year. Sanders has just one target in two playoff games, and it was a mere three-yard completion.
I’ll use a generous receiving cushion to ensure that Sanders goes underneath this prop, rather than the slightly riskier rushing yardage line of 60.5.
Prop: Under 70.5 rushing + receiving yards (-115)
Miles Sanders Super Bowl 57 SGP
Miles Sanders: Under 70.5 rushing + receiving yards
Miles Sanders: Under 13.5 rushing attempts
Kenneth Gainwell: Under 20.5 rushing yards
I spoke at length about Sanders’ rushing and receiving line above. For my same-game parlay, I’ll play Sanders to go Under 13.5 rushing attempts, as he’s gone below that number in four of his last six overall. I don’t think the Chiefs will let the Eagles continually hand it off to kill the clock.
For that same reason, I like the Under on backup tailback Kenneth Gainwell’s rushing total too. He’s had 26 carries in two postseason games but had just 53 rushing attempts in the regular season.
Oddsmakers aren’t fooled, setting his attempts prop at 4.5. I think that line is a bit short, but wouldn’t play it unless it jumps to 5.5. It’s a safer wager that Gainwell will fail to crack 21 yards against the Chiefs’ eighth-ranked run-stoppers.
Same-game parlay: +300 at PointsBet