The Las Vegas Raiders are headed to the Pacific Northwest to take on the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday.
The Raiders snapped a three-game losing streak last Sunday, beating the Denver Broncos in overtime for their third victory of the season. The Seahawks, meanwhile, had their four-game winning streak snapped, losing to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Will Seattle go back to their winning ways, or will the Raiders win for the second straight week? Continue reading for free NFL picks and predictions for Raiders vs. Seahawks on November 28.
Raiders vs Seahawks best odds
Raiders vs Seahawks picks and predictions
One of the most enticing prop bets for the Raiders-Seahawks game is the Lag Vegas running back Josh Jacobs’ rushing yards total. DraftKings has it at 83.5 with the Over and Under squarely at -115.
Jacobs has been able to run the ball effectively this season, amassing 100+ yards in four of 10 games. Those four 100-yard plus games were against the Kansas City Chiefs, Houston Texans, and Denver Broncos twice.
The Chiefs are fifth in the NFL in rushing defense, allowing an average of 100.6 yards per game, with the Broncos 15th (115.3), while the Texans are dead last (178.9).
Seattle is well below Kansas City and Denver in run defense, sitting 28th, averaging 140.9 yards per game allowed. It’s an area that Coach Pete Carroll has been critical of in the past.
The Seahawks faced Tampa Bay last week — one of the worst run offenses in the league, averaging just 70.7 yards per game. But against Seattle the Buccaneers more than doubled their average, gaining 161 yards on the ground. Rachaad White alone had 105 yards on 22 carries.
Jacobs is averaging 5.1 yards per carry. In the Raiders’ three victories, he averaged 4.5, 7.2, and 5.1. In all three games, he went more than 100 yards.
He should be able to have his way with Seattle on Sunday. Seattle may make it a priority to try and stop Jacobs, especially with quarterback Derek Carr having only one realistic option at wide receiver in Davante Adams.
Still, there’s not much resistance to provide, and if Jacobs gets 18-20 carries at even his average yards per carry clip, he will easily hit the Over on this wager.
My best bet: Josh Jacobs Over 83.5 rushing yards (-115)
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Raiders vs Seahawks spread analysis
There’s no reason to think the Raiders are going to be in this football game. They’re 3-7 and the only teams they have beaten are the Broncos twice and the worst team in the league, the Texans.
The line on this game is -3.5 in favor of the Seahawks, and it hasn’t moved since it opened at that number.
The Vegas offense has been poor, save for Adams and Jacobs.
The running game for the Raiders is just 23rd in the league, averaging 106.8 yards per game. The passing attack is relatively better, putting up 235.5 yards per, good for ninth. But with injuries to Darren Waller and Hunter Renfrow, Carr only has Adams as a legitimate threat.
But Adams has been spectacular. The 29-year-old is eighth in the NFL in receptions (64), fourth in yards (926), and second in touchdowns (10).
But can the opposition provide a soft spot for Vegas? Seattle’s pass defense is 21st, and its run defense is even worse at 28th.
Seattle profiles with an edge on offense. The Seahawks are 12th in total offense, 13th in passing and rushing. Quarterback Geno Smith has been more productive than most thought he would be, and running back Kenneth Walker III has filled in well for the injured Rashad Penny.
The Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games, and 4-6 ATS overall this season. The Seahawks are 4-1 ATS both in their last five games overall and their last five home games.
Raiders vs Seahawks Over/Under analysis
The total for this game, is 47.5, a half point below the combined averages of these teams.
The points allowed on defense is porous for both. The Seahawks are 23rd at 24.1 points allowed per game, while the Raiders are right behind them in 24th, allowing 24.2 points a game.
Seattle’s defense is much improved from earlier in the year. In the last three games, they’ve limited teams to 21, 21, and 13 points. That’s a big improvement from the 45, 39, and 27 points they previously surrendered.
The Raiders also had a good defensive game against the Broncos last week, limiting Denver to 16 points.
The trends here seem to favor the Under. For Seattle, the Under is 4-1 in the last five games following a bye week. The squad is 5-5 O/U for the year.
The Raiders are 4-5-1 on the Under for the season, but three of their last four games have hit the Under. The Under is also 7-2 in their last nine following a straight-up win.
Raiders vs Seahawks betting trend to know
The home team is 7-2 against the spread in the last nine meetings between the two teams and the favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last five. Find more NFL betting trends for Raiders vs. Seahawks.
Raiders vs Seahawks game info
|Location:||Lumen Field, Seattle, WA|
|Date:||Sunday, November 27, 2022|
|Kickoff:||4:05 p.m. ET|
|Opening odds:||Seahawks -3.5, 47.5 O/U|