NFL survivor pools have long been a popular content for football fans, but what if you took a survivor pool... and made it for touchdowns?
Well, we've got the answer, as we run our first Covers NFL expert survivor pool!
Eight — sorry, seven (as we had our first elimination last week) — of our brightest football minds draft one player each week to find paydirt. Heading into Week 7, four more experts are on the brink of elimination with two strikes.
Follow along with our team's selections this week as we look to go a perfect 7/7... and tail the NFL TD picks you also think will deliver!
Covers NFL Touchdown Survivor rules
- Random draft order each week for player selection (two analysts cannot have the same player in the same week).
- Each analyst chooses one player. Once he's selected, they cannot select him again this year.
- If your pick is correct: Gold star. If your pick is wrong: You get a strike.
- Three strikes... and you're out of the competition.
Covers NFL TD Survivor Picks: Week 7
| Draft No. | Expert Pick |  Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Inglis Chuba Hubbard |
52% |
| 2 | Dustin Saracini Puka Nacua |
51% |
| 3 | Rob Paul Christian McCaffrey |
68% |
| 4 | Chris Vasile Jahmyr Gibbs |
76% |
| 5 | Jason Logan Woody Marks |
53% |
| 6 | Jon Metler Amon-Ra St. Brown |
53% |
| 7 | Joe Osborne  Jaylen Warren |
52% |
| 8 | Neil Parker Eliminated |
🪦 |
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Josh Inglis' TD play: Chuba Hubbard 52%
Week 7 draft spot: No. 1
Hubbard projects as the sixth-most probable TD this weekend. He's coming off a 93% snap share (and 30 of 31 RB opportunities) last week — the workload he's had in the last three games has been LaDainian Tomlinson-like.
If Carolina scores three times... he's getting in.
Dustin Saracini's TD play: Puka Nacua 51%
Week 7 draft spot: No. 2
My first shot at a wideout this year, and I love what I see. Without Davante Adams, Puka is the only real threat through the air in La La Land.
Facing one of the worst red-zone defenses in football in Vegas, I expect Nacua to hit paydirt.
Rob Paul's TD play: Christian McCaffrey 68%
Week 7 draft spot: No. 3
San Francisco is force-feeding CMC red-zone touches (24), and he's second in the NFL with seven rushing TDs. More importantly, he's playing the Falcons: Who I want revenge against for not getting Bijan a TD the week I had him.
Chris Vasile's TD play: Jahmyr Gibbs 76%
Week 7 draft spot: No. 4
Gibbs has nine TDs in five games, including two receiving scores. He’s been Detroit’s go-to guy near the goal line, and the Lions are coming off a bye with fresh legs.
With a 53.5 total vs. Green Bay, we’re expecting points — I’ll gladly take the guy who’s been finding the end zone every week.
More NFL touchdown picks at Covers
Jason Logan's TD play: Woody Marks 53%
Week 7 draft spot: No. 5
David Montgomery is out and the Houston Texans are double-digit chalk at home to the G-Men. New York has been rolled by the run the past three weeks, so I'm going to take an RB2 in a really good spot.
Jon Metler's TD play: Amon-Ra St. Brown 53%
Week 7 draft spot: No. 6
St. Brown hasn’t scored in the last two weeks, but he has drawn 22 targets. The volume is clearly there — and the Lions are fresh off a bye week at home.
Joe Osborne's TD play: Jaylen Warren 35%
Week 7 draft spot: No. 7
The Saints have allowed a league-high 12 TDs to running backs, so the Steelers should lean on him, both on the ground and through the air — where he's had 4+ targets in every game.
How this week's draft order was decided
Our analysts competed in a sumo battle royale for the 1.01 spot in Week 7 of the Covers Anytime TD Survival draft 😂 Credit: https://t.co/B1sAmPjhMJ https://t.co/dv0Ht8GQnm
— Covers.com (@Covers) October 22, 2026
Week 7 TD combo: Covers Survivor Pool edition
Let's juice up our touchdown survivor picks! Put our TD picks together in a combo this week, and get a 32.57x payout!
Chuba Hubbard
Puka Nacua
Christian McCaffrey
Jahmyr Gibbs
Woody Marks
Amon-Ra St. Brown
Jaylen Warren
Covers Weekly TD Survivor tracker
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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