The “Micah Parsons Bowl” takes place this Sunday night in Arlington, Texas as the Green Bay Packers linebacker returns to face his former team, the Dallas Cowboys.
The visiting Packers are -6.5 betting favorites, and there are plenty of SNF prop bets available to bet on.
Our NFL player prop projections predict something of a shootout as it is going with a boatload of Overs. Check out those SNF computer picks, with betting analysis, below.
Packers vs Cowboys computer picks for Sunday Night Football
 Packers |
 Cowboys |
|---|---|
| Love Over 228.5 passing yards (-114) | Prescott Over 235.5 passing yards (-112) |
| Jacobs Over 70.5 rushing yards (-112) | Williams Over 48.5 rushing yards (-115) |
| Doubs Over 41.5 receiving yards (-130) | Pickens Over 4.5 receptions (-135) |
| Kraft Over 42.5 receiving yards (-110) | Ferguson Over 53.5 receiving yards (-110) |
Bet on SNF at FanDuel!
Make your Sunday Night Football bets at FanDuel, America's No. 1 sportsbook! Sign up now and by placing $5 on your first bet, you could win $300 in bonus bets if your wager is a winner!
*Eligible U.S. locations only
Packers SNF computer picks
Jordan Love Over 228.5 passing yards (-114)
Projection: 262.0 yards
The Dallas Cowboys currently own the worst pass defense in the NFL, having given up an average of 288 yards per game through three games. Jordan Love has thrown for over 200 yards just once so far this season, as he racked up 292 yards through the air against Washington in Week 2. However, the two yardage duds came against formidable pass defenses in Detroit and Cleveland.
I agree with our props projection computer here and will ride with the Over.
Alternate-total bet
300+ yards passing (+422): I like Love to have his highest passing yards total of the season thus far. A sprinkle on a big number against a horrific pass defense is worthwhile.
Josh Jacobs Over 70.5 rushing yards (-112)
Projection: 75.5 yards
While Dallas’ pass defense has been horrendous, its run defense is middle of the pack, ranking 17th in rush yardage allowed. The Dallas D held Saquon Barkley to 60 yards in Week 1, allowed 45 yards to Cam Skattebo in Week 3, and gave up just 33 yards to D’Andre Swift this past Sunday.
Josh Jacobs has gone Over 70.5 rush yards just once this season. The number seems too high, so I’m going against our AI here and will take the Under.
Romeo Doubs Over 41.5 receiving yards (-130)
Projection: 55.2 yards
Romeo Doubs has been targeted by Love just 11 times total this season, going Over 41.5 yards just once in three games.
The Dallas pass defense is so bad, however, that Doubs should haul in a long reception or two that will get him over this number. I’ll roll with the computer and take the Over.
Tucker Kraft Over 42.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 53.9 yards
Tucker Kraft had just 16 yards receiving in Week 1 against the Lions and just 29 yards receiving in Week 3 against the Browns. Week 2 was easily his best week so far this season as he racked up 124 yards against the Commanders.
It’s unlikely he cracks the century mark here, but Over 42.5 yards is more than doable against the porous Dallas defense. The computer and I are on the same page with the Over.
Alternate-total bet
50+ yards receiving (+125): Good value here for a top tight end against a brutal pass defense.
More Sunday Night Football picks from Covers
- Packers vs. Cowboys predictions
- ChatGBT predicts the winners of all NFL Week 4 games
- Free NFL picks and predictions
Cowboys SNF computer picks
Dak Prescott Over 235.5 passing yards (-112)
Projection: 272.6 yards
The Green Bay Packers have one of the elite defensive units in the game and are spearheaded by some guy named Micah Parsons. You think he’ll be motivated to get after Dak Prescott early and often?
This projects as a nightmarish game for Dak. I’ll go against the robotic grain here and take the Under.
George Pickens Over 4.5 receptions (-135)
Projection: 5.5 receptions
The Green Bay defense has done a nice job taking away the opposing team’s top receivers. It limited Amon-Ra St. Brown to four catches in Week 1, allowed five catches to Terry McLaurin in Week 2, and held Jerry Jeudy to just one reception last week.
George Pickens is now the No. 1 receiver in Dallas by default with CeeDee Lamb on the shelf. I don’t think Pickens is equipped to be the top guy, especially against a top defense. I’ll go Under 4.5 receptions here despite the computer’s continuing love affair with these Overs.
Javonte Williams Over 48.5 yards (-115)
Projection: 55.3 yards
The Green Bay defense has allowed just 64.3 rushing yards per game so far this season. That’s third-best in the NFL.
It completely shut down Jahmyr Gibbs in Week 1, giving up just 19 yards on nine carries. Jacory Croskey-Merritt managed just 17 yards on the ground against the Packers D in Week 2.
The one outlier thus far was Quinshon Judkins, dashing for 94 yards on 18 carries this past week.
Packers defensive coordinator Jeff Hafley will surely have his run defense ready to bounce back after a relatively poor performance. I’ll take another Dallas Under here.
Jake Ferguson Over 53.5 yards (-110)
Projection: 57.9 yards
Jake Ferguson has been more involved in the Dallas passing attack with each game this season. He had 23 yards receiving in Week 1, 78 yards in Week 2, and 82 yards in Week 3.
With Green Bay focusing on Pickens, I do think some of Prescott’s other options will get a few more looks. I have the least amount of confidence in this pick, but I’ll ride with the computer here and take the Over.
