Patriots vs Giants Prediction, Picks & Odds for This Week’s NFL Preseason Game

Oldfield's prediction: With a more stable quarterback situation, the Giants are poised to finish the preseason strong.

Tom Oldfield - Contributor at Covers.com
Tom Oldfield • Betting Analyst
Aug 21, 2025 • 11:08 ET • 4 min read

NFL

Match starts: 7 hrs
NYG
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NE
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EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
N.Y. Giants -6.5 (-110) N.Y. Giants -6.5 (-110)
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Jaxson Dart New York Giants NFL
Photo By - Imagn Images. New York Giants quarterback Jaxson Dart (6) looks to pass.

The New York Giants’ crowded QB room will get more work on Thursday as the G-Men wrap up their preseason against a New England Patriots team that’s likely seen enough from its starters over the past two weeks.

Both teams are 2-0 in the preseason, but my Patriots vs. Giants predictions call for Brian Daboll’s men to stay perfect here, with New York’s quarterback depth making the difference at MetLife Stadium.

Check out my NFL picks for this August 21 matchup.

Patriots vs Giants prediction

Patriots vs Giants Best bet: Giants -6.5 (-105)

Russell Wilson is entrenched as the New York Giants’ Week 1 starter, but there’s plenty of jockeying for position behind him, with Jameis Winston, Jaxson Dart and Tommy DeVito currently on the roster.

All four QBs took snaps in last weekend’s 31-12 victory over the New York Jets, combining for 398 passing yards, and Thursday’s clash with the New England Patriots could provide another chance for Dart to build on the buzz from his home preseason debut, where he completed 14 of his 16 passes, throwing one TD pass and running for another.

Regardless of how the Giants slice up the possessions for their quarterbacks, the hosts should be able to count on four quarters of steady quarterback play.

It’s harder to say the same with conviction about the Patriots’ QB situation. It would be a surprise if Drake Maye suits up and, though Josh Dobbs was efficient against the Minnesota Vikings last time out, Ben Wooldridge is untested behind him.

There’s a clearer sense that New England will lean on its backups here, and that’s another reason to pick against the visitors.

The Pats are still dealing with a few training camp injuries – most notably, Christian Gonzalez and Kendrick Bourne – and there’s no reason to risk further knocks in the lead-up to Week 1.

That paves the way for the Giants to take charge at MetLife Stadium, and I expect the G-Men to win by a margin of at least a touchdown.

Patriots vs Giants odds

  • Spread: Patriots +6.5 (-110) | Giants -6.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Patriots +235 | Giants -292
  • Over/Under: Over 37.5 (-120) | Under 37.5 (+100)

How to watch Patriots vs Giants

Location: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Date: Thursday, August 21, 2025
Kickoff: 8:00 p.m. ET
TV: Prime Video

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Tom Oldfield - Covers
Betting Analyst

Tom Oldfield’s sports writing journey over the past 20 years has taken him from the Premier League and Champions League to the NFL, NBA, WNBA and MLB, with a wide range of articles and betting previews. Tom has worked closely with London’s Sportsbeat sports news agency as well as (thrillingly!) covering the Toronto Raptors’ 2019 NBA championship run, and he has appeared on BBC World Service and The Back Page podcast.

A graduate of the University of Nottingham in the UK, he is the author of biographies on Cristiano Ronaldo, Rafael Nadal, Gary Neville and Cesc Fabregas, and he co-authors a long-running series of children’s soccer books with his brother, Matt.

As a regular bettor across the top sports leagues, particularly with FanDuel and bet365, he is well versed on all the major markets and the next big game is rarely far from his thoughts. The best betting advice he has received is to monitor multiple sportsbooks to grab the best possible value.

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