Two underdog wins on Monday Night Football pushed me to a 9-6 finish (+0.19 Units) last week, keeping me from the red, and my latest moneyline selections will once again back the Atlanta Falcons as they head to face the reeling San Francisco 49ers.
Here are my latest NFL picks for the upcoming Week 7 slate.
Week 7 NFL moneyline picks
| Matchup | Pick |
|---|---|
 Steelers vs  Bengals |
-240 |
 Rams vs  Jaguars |
-148 |
 Patriots vs  Titans |
-360 |
 Saints vs  Bears |
-245 |
 Dolphins vs  Browns |
-156 |
 Panthers vs  Jets |
-124 |
 Eagles vs  Vikings |
+110 |
 Raiders vs  Chiefs |
-720 |
 Giants vs  Broncos |
-340 |
 Colts vs  Chargers |
+112 |
 Commanders vs  Cowboys |
+108 |
 Packers vs  Cardinals |
-300 |
 Falcons vs  49ers |
+110 |
 Buccaneers vs  Lions |
-275 |
 Texans vs  Seahawks |
+150 |
Lines courtesy of FanDuel as of 10-15.
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Expert Week 7 NFL moneyline picks
Steelers vs. Bengals: Steelers (-240)
Joe Flacco may never retire at this rate, but going up against a healthy Steelers defense will surely have him thinking about it.
Aaron Rodgers has managed the game perfectly during Pittsburgh’s 5-1-2 start, and while it may be a boring product, it’s been an effective one for Mike Tomlin’s squad.
Rams vs. Jaguars: Rams (-148)
Sean McVay is set to take on his former OC Liam Coen, so this should be an interesting game of chess between the two offensive gurus.
Considering star linebacker Devin Lloyd will be sidelined for Jacksonville, I’ll take L.A. to prevail in London.
Patriots vs. Titans: Patriots (-360)
New England has won three straight, Drake Maye is emerging as a star, and Mike Vrabel returns to his old stomping grounds ready to lay waste to a decrepit Titans organization.
This one won't be remotely close.
Saints vs. Bears: Bears (-245)
The Chicago Bears have caught fire with back-to-back wins, and a cupcake matchup against New Orleans should only boost Caleb Williams and Co.’s confidence moving forward.
Dolphins vs. Browns: Browns (-156)
The Browns have failed to score more than 17 points in 11 straight games, yet I’m backing Cleveland's defense to deliver its first win of the season against Miami.
That’s how much of a tire fire the Dolphins are right now.
Panthers vs. Jets: Panthers (-124)
Aaron Glenn delivered the worst coaching performance I’ve ever seen in New York's latest loss to Denver.
Despite limited talent, Carolina has bought in under Dave Canales, and that will be enough to drop the Jets to 0-7.
Eagles vs. Vikings: Vikings (+110)
Carson Wentz revenge SZN?!
To be fully transparent, I wouldn’t touch Minnesota if the Eagles were at full strength, but injuries to DT Jalen Carter, CB Quinyen Mitchell, and G Landon Dickerson make the Vikings an appealing play at plus money.
Raiders vs. Chiefs: Chiefs (-720)
Kansas City resembled the Chiefs of old in their prime-time victory over Detroit.
The team is 8-2 SU against the Raiders in their last 10 head-to-head matchups, and that trend will stay in KC’s favor on Sunday.
Giants vs. Broncos: Broncos (-340)
Nik Bonitto and the Denver defense will feast on Jaxson Dart, giving the rookie sensation a bit of humble pie in the Mile High City.
The Giants' defense has been getting torched both on the ground and through the air in 2025, so if there was ever a time for Bo Nix to find his footing, it’s this game.
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Colts vs. Chargers: Colts (+112)
Los Angeles has been getting burned on the ground in 2025, and the Colts have the perfect weapon to exploit that in rushing leader Jonathan Taylor.
Expect Indy to give Jim Harbaugh a taste of his own medicine and dominate the time of possession in a grind-it-out win at SoFi Stadium.
Commanders vs. Cowboys: Cowboys (+108)
Neither one of these defenses inspires any confidence, so I'm going to take a shot on Dallas as a home dog.
Dak Prescott has been incredible to start the season, clearly outplaying Jayden Daniels heading into Week 7.
Packers vs. Cardinals: Cardinals (-300)
Jacoby Brissett and the Cardinals gave the Colts a good scare last week, but it’ll be much tougher going up against an elite Packers’ pass rush. Marvin Harrison Jr. is also questionable for this one after suffering a concussion against Indy.
The Cheeseheads continue to travel well, and State Farm Stadium has become a haven for opposing fans taking over.
Green Bay takes this one by double-digits.
Falcons vs. 49ers: Falcons (+110)
Fred Warner is the latest 49ers star to suffer a catastrophic injury, and San Francisco’s freefall is set to continue against a Falcons team that has all the pieces offensively.
Meanwhile, Atlanta's defense has proven to be elite after completely dominating Josh Allen from the start on Monday Night Football.
Buccaneers vs. Lions: Lions (-275)
This is shaping up to be an incredible matchup at Ford Field, though the Lions’ secondary will take another hit with the suspension of Pro Bowl safety Brian Branch.
That said, Tampa Bay is missing its top three receivers, and its starting corners remain banged up heading into this potential playoff preview. I’ll ride with the Lions at home, with their offense doing the heavy lifting once again.
Texans vs. Seahawks: Texans (+150)
Houston has had a full week to prepare for Seattle, while the Seahawks are traveling back to the West Coast following a huge road win in Jacksonville.
It’s easy to focus on the Texans’ 2-3 record, but their defense has held opponents to 10 points or fewer in four of those games, and C.J. Stroud has looked more like his former self over Houston’s last two outings (both wins).
I like the Texans to grab a huge road win in the Emerald City, propelling them back into AFC South contention.
My NFL moneyline record is 61-32 this season for +8.32 units.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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