Monday Night Football closes out Week 7 with an NFC East rivalry, as the Dallas Cowboys visit the Philadelphia Eagles. We're breaking it down with our Cowboys vs. Eagles best bets.
Our experts have analyzed moneyline, spread, and total predictions, along with player props and touchdown picks for tonight's game.
Kickoff is set for Monday, Oct. 26, at 8:15 p.m. ET from Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia (ESPN), with the Cowboys as the 4.5-point favorites, and the total sitting at 44.5.
Monday Night Football predictions: Cowboys vs Eagles
For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, see our odds calculator.
| Pick |  Probability |
|---|---|
 Cowboys moneyline |
66% |
 Eagles +4.5 |
50% |
| /Under 44.5 |
53% |
| Makai Lemon longest reception Over 16.5 yards |
48% |
| George Pickens 65+ receiving yards |
52% |
| Dallas Goedert anytime touchdown |
32% |
Probabilities courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Who will win Cowboys vs Eagles?
Trevor Knapp is taking the Cowboys in his NFL moneyline picks for Week 7.
Our prediction: Cowboys moneyline — Yes (66%)
"While Dak Prescott and the Dallas Cowboys are fresh off a stinker in Green Bay, they're at least in better shape health-wise than a Philadelphia Eagles team with an offense that's been decimated by injuries, including a blood clot that has sidelined Jalen Hurts for the rest of the season.
The NFC East is still very much Dallas’ for the taking, while Philly seems about ready to punt on this year. Take America's Team to prevail at the Linc."
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Monday Night Football spread prediction
Our prediction: Eagles +4.5 — Yes (50%)
Jason Logan is backing Philadelphia with the points in his Cowboys vs. Eagles prediction.
"It's scary to bank on a backup QB, but Tanner McKee wasn't terrible in his first start for the Eagles.
He passed for 215 yards and one touchdown with no interceptions in the loss to Carolina, despite missing plenty of pieces on offense. His cupboard won't be as bare in Week 7, with star RB Saquon Barkley likely back.
Philadelphia might not need much to outgun a struggling Cowboys offense that's had the power cut over the last two weeks.
The Cowboys were a top-3 offense through the opening four games but have sputtered, scoring a combined 29 points in losses to Tampa Bay and Green Bay. Dallas can't generate any momentum, going a combined 11-for-28 on third and fourth downs in those outings."
Monday Night Football total prediction
Market lean: Under 44.5 — Yes (53%)
Joe Osborne is taking the Under in his pick featured as part of our Cowboys vs. Eagles expert picks.
"The Eagles have stayed below 44.5 total points in five straight games. Good opponents, bad opponents, it doesn’t matter, as they drag everyone into the mud.
Philadelphia ranks dead last in yards per play, and McKee just led the Eagles to 14 points and 222 yards last week during his first start this season. Philly's unit is easily in contention for being the worst offense leaguewide, and it could make the Cowboys' defense look respectable.
Meanwhile, the Cowboys rank 28th in explosive play rate and have scored just 20, 16, and 13 points over three prime-time games this season."
For another look at this week's totals, check out our NFL Week 7 Over/Under predictions and totals combo.
More Cowboys vs Eagles picks from Covers
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- Cowboys vs Eagles Best Bets & Expert Picks: Monday Night Football Week 7
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- NFL Picks Against the Spread for Every Week 7 Game
- NFL Anytime Touchdown Picks & TD Props: Week 7
Monday Night Football player props
Receiving prop: Makai Lemon longest reception Over 16.5 yards — Yes (48%)
Jason Logan likes the rookie's longest-reception market in his Cowboys vs. Eagles prop picks.
"Makai Lemon drew six targets for three catches in last week’s loss to Carolina and has seen six or more balls his way over the past three games. With WRs DeVonta Smith and Dontayvion Wicks out, Lemon climbs the depth chart in Week 7.
Eagles coach Nick Sirianni was asked if this was the week Philly uncorks the speedy Lemon as a downfield threat. Sirianni danced around a definitive answer, but he praised his first-year talent's progress.
Given the matchup with a weak Cowboys secondary, Lemon could hit a few home run plays and get Over his longest reception total of 16.5 O/U, especially with some models calling for 50+ yards.
The Cowboys have allowed 22 passing plays of 20+ yards entering Monday Night Football. They’ve allowed the 12th-most yards after the catch and the 10th-most missed tackles. Lemon is great at making guys miss, sitting second on the team in yards after contact."
Receiving prop: George Pickens 65+ receiving yards — Yes (52%)
Logan is also backing George Pickens.
"The last time Pickens faced Vic Fangio’s defense, the Dallas WR caught all nine passes thrown his way for 146 yards and a touchdown last November.
The Cowboys need to get the WR2 going early on, as his first-half numbers pale in comparison to his efforts in the final 30 minutes. Pickens is averaging just 19 yards in the opening two frames compared to 52 average yards in the second half.
He’ll face an Eagles secondary allowing 65+ yards per game to WR2s and running plenty of man coverage (12th-highest rate). For his career, Pickens is an excellent one-on-one weapon."
Anytime touchdown prop: Dallas Goedert — Yes (32%)
Josh Inglis is backing Dallas Goedert to score in his NFL anytime touchdown picks.
"I know everyone is down on the Eagles, but Dallas Goedert is the No. 2 option in an offense facing a Cowboys defense that ranks in the bottom 10 across the board, 31st in EPA per play, and dead last in EPA per dropback.
Goedert has logged 17 targets in two games since returning to the lineup. He's faced a couple of decent defenses in Jacksonville and Carolina, but without the cross-country travel, this Philly offense should have a better showing with extra rest and McKee locked in as the starter."
For more touchdown angles, check out our full Cowboys vs. Eagles touchdown picks.
Cowboys vs Eagles live markets explained
Kalshi event contracts can be bought and sold as the Cowboys vs. Eagles game unfolds, meaning traders aren't necessarily locked into their original pregame position.
The probabilities will move throughout the game as the score, time remaining, possession, and game state change.
How do Cowboys vs Eagles prediction markets work?
Kalshi is a federally regulated U.S. exchange where users trade directly on the outcome of real-world future events. Instead of traditional bets, users trade event contracts based on simple Yes/No questions such as "Will the Cowboys beat the Eagles?"
Contract prices reflect the market's estimated probability of an outcome. A contract trading at 23%, for example, indicates that the market is assigning that outcome roughly a 23% chance of occurring. If the prediction is correct, the contract settles at $1; if it is incorrect, the contract settles at $0.
How does Kalshi differ from sportsbooks?
At a traditional sportsbook, bettors wager against prices established by the bookmaker. Kalshi instead operates as an exchange, with users trading event contracts against other market participants.
Another major difference is the ability to exit a position before an event is finished. If the probability of your Cowboys vs. Eagles position increases during the game, you can sell the contract rather than waiting for the final result.
Why trade Cowboys vs Eagles at Kalshi?
Kalshi offers several features that distinguish prediction markets from traditional pro football betting:
- Live flexibility: Contracts can be bought and sold as market probabilities change throughout the game.
- Probability-based pricing: Markets display the estimated likelihood of an outcome rather than traditional American odds.
- Transparency: Prices are driven by trading activity between market participants.
- Federal regulation: Kalshi operates as a CFTC-regulated exchange.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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