Just two weeks remain on the NFL regular season schedule, and playoff positioning and postseason berths aren’t all that is being settled on the field.
NFL players are also chasing records, statistical milestones, and contract incentives.
Pinpointing these incentives is a popular handicapping angle for NFL player props at this point of the season, too.
Here’s a peek at six NFL players with a little extra on the line in Week 17.
Week 17 Milestone props
Myles Garrett to record a sack
Cleveland Browns star Myles Garrett is a sack short of breaking the all-time, single-season record and just a half sack from tying Hall of Famer Michael Strahan and Pittsburgh Steelers edge rusher T.J. Watt.
Garrett will be champing at the bit to take down Steelers quarterback Aaron Rodgers on Sunday, and Pittsburgh has surrendered 27 sacks through 15 games. I expect the record to be broken in Week 17.
Derrick Henry 70+ rushing yards
The Baltimore Ravens turning away from No. 1 running back Derrick Henry late in the Week 16 loss to the New England Patriots wasn’t well received by the fanbase and critics, and it also left Henry just 64 rushing yards short of passing Hall of Famer Tony Dorsett and climbing to 10th in the all-time rushing yards list.
The Ravens have a potentially tough date with the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field on Saturday night. Green Bay has allowed the seventh-lowest yards per carry, so while Henry might fall short of this rushing yards total, I expect him to go for 65 or more on the ground to pass Dorsett.
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Contract incentives
Keenan Allen Over 37.5 receiving yards
Make no mistake: the Houston Texans field an elite defense across all metrics. Still, with Los Angeles Chargers receiver Keenan Allen just 26 receiving yards short of a $250,000 bonus for reaching 750 for the season. Long-time quarterback Justin Herbert will be looking to Allen enough Saturday afternoon.
Deebo Samuel Over 4.5 receptions
It’s been a lost season for the Washington Commanders, and they’ll likely be turning to 39-year-old quarterback Josh Johnson on Christmas Day against the Dallas Cowboys.
With the Dallas defense friendlier than Kris Kringle, I’m expecting Johnson to look to veteran receiver Deebo Samuel early and often, and Samuel is just two receptions short of a $450,000 bonus for reaching 70 for the campaign.
Rico Dowdle anytime touchdown
The Seattle Seahawks have allowed just seven touchdowns to opposing running backs all season, so this isn’t a great spot for Carolina Panthers rusher Rico Dowdle to score for the eighth time this season. If he does, though, the trip to pay dirt will unlock a $250,000 contract incentive.
Marquise Brown anytime touchdown
Kansas City Chiefs receiver Marquise Brown is a touchdown shy of taking a cool $750,000 cash cow in contract incentives, and these long odds could pad your pocket, too.
Unfortunately, the Chiefs are down to third-string quarterback Chris Oladokun, and the Denver Broncos have allowed just six touchdowns to opposing wide receivers all season.
