We're back for another round of Covers' Football Contest Countdown as we pick the five games most likely to be bet, against the spread, by football pool contestants for the NFL's Week 12 slate.
Hosts Adam Chernoff and Las Vegas Cris are going to pass over the Thanksgiving Day games, leaving them with a smaller slate chocked full of short spreads.
Check out all of Adam and LVC's selections below and find out which teams they landed on. They're here to help you decipher what the weekly picks will be when they go live every Thursday at 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT — coinciding with the release of the Circa Million lines — and give you advice on what they expect to be the consensus plays.
Top betting contest consensus plays for Week 12
Here are the Top 5 against the spread (ATS) plays that Adam and LVC are predicting contestants will use for Week 12, based on the Circa Million lines. These are not picks made by Adam and LVC, but will be graded versus the consensus numbers published by Circa Sports every Saturday.
|1||Los Angeles Chargers (@ Denver)||-3|
|2||Philadelphia Eagles (@ New York Giants)||-3.5|
|3||Atlanta Falcons (@ Jacksonville)||PK|
|4||Baltimore Ravens (vs. Cleveland)||-3.5|
|5||Washington Football Team (vs. Seattle)||-1|
Season-long correct selections: 20.
Adam's top Week 12 consensus pick: Philadelphia -3.5 (@ Giants)
The Giants looked bad again, head coach Joe Judge got OC Jason Garrett fired — with Freddie Kitchens taking over — and Philly is a public darling.
Adam's season-long record: 4-7
Las Vegas Cris' top Week 12 consensus pick: Washington -1 (vs. Seahawks)
People are finally getting off of supporting the Seattle bandwagon, and with louder rumblings of the team collapsing internally, bettors will happily jump on a Washington team that is on a roll — and at home.
LVC's season-long record: 7-4
[Adam and LVC's records are based on who chose the higher-selected game each week.]
Adam and LVC's correctly predicted two of the Top-5 most commonly picked teams — including LVC coming close with his pick, Minnesota +1.5, being the second-most picked team last week. Check out the Top 5 picks from Week 11:
- Colts +7 (@ Bills)
- Vikings +1.5 (vs Packers)
- Ravens -4.5 (@ Bears)
- Dolphins -3 (@ Jets)
- Seahawks +2 (vs Cardinals)
Here are the Top 10 plays this week, according to our consensus numbers. Please note that these percentages are compiled from a number of different books, and can include variations in game-to-game spreads. Please visit our Covers Consensus page to see the consensus results at a specific odds number.
Why consensus is important for betting contests
Making winning picks is only half the battle when competing in betting contests! You're not just trying to get as many right as you can — you're also trying to separate yourself from every other contestant in the field.
Identifying the spreads most competitors are likely to bet on, and then isolating the ones that you feel strongly about (and ones you think are troublesome), is the biggest edge in gaining extra points on the competition — and not falling behind when the action doesn't go your way.
Watch the video below for our best NFL betting contest strategies and check out the full details on the best available NFL betting contests for the 2021 season.