The struggling Miami Dolphins head to Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday for a matchup with the 3-3 Atlanta Falcons.
Bijan Robinson has been up and down at times this season, but my Dolphins vs. Falcons predictions are eyeing him to torch a poor Miami run defense.
Read more for my NFL picks for Sunday, October 26.
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Dolphins vs Falcons prediction
Dolphins vs Falcons Best bet: Bijan Robinson Over 88.5 rushing yards (-114 at FanDuel)
Bijan Robinson is one of the driving forces behind the Atlanta Falcons offensive success. The running back had had a couple of massive games, and overall, he’s averaging 5.4 yards per carry this season.
The former Texas Longhorn has cashed the Over in rushing yards just twice in 2025, but this could be a field day for him.
The Miami Dolphins are dead last in the NFL in most rushing yards allowed, giving up 159.3 per game. Robinson cooked the Buffalo Bills for 170 yards on the ground on October 13, and as we all know, he can dominate any defense, no matter how good they may be.
In Miami’s case, they clearly cannot stop the run. With that in mind, the Falcons will be putting the football in Bijan’s hands a lot, and I have no doubt he’ll step up to the plate and deliver. It could be another 100+-yard game.
Dolphins vs Falcons same-game parlay
Tua Tagovailoa is having a forgettable season, and it doesn’t help that he lost Tyreek Hill to a season-ending knee injury. The quarterback has barely thrown for 1,300 yards and 11 touchdowns against 10 interceptions.
Tua has cashed the Under in passing yards in three of his last five, and he’s up against the top pass defense in the league on Sunday. The Falcons allow just 141.2 passing yards per game. They will contain Tagovailoa.
Drake London is the top target for Michael Penix Jr., and although he’s questionable to play due to injury, London should still be busy, even if it’s Kirk Cousins under center.
The USC product has 38 receptions overall this season, and he’s hit the Over in catches in two of his last three games.
Dolphins vs Falcons SGP
- Bijan Robinson Over 88.5 rushing yards
- Tua Tagovailoa Under 196.5 passing yards
- Drake London Over 5.5 receptions
Our big-ticket SGP: Pitts gets in on the fun
Kyle Pitts has cashed the Over in receptions in two of his last three, reeling in seven catches last weekend against the 49ers.
Dolphins vs Falcons SGP
- Bijan Robinson Over 88.5 rushing yards
- Tua Tagovailoa Under 196.5 passing yards
- Drake London Over 5.5 receptions
- Kyle Pitts Over 4.5 receptions
Dolphins vs Falcons odds
- Spread: Dolphins +7.5 (-112) | Falcons -7.5 (-108)
- Moneyline: Dolphins +330 | Falcons -375
- Over/Under: Over 44.5 (-114) | Under 44.5 (-106)
More NFL picks and odds from Covers
Dolphins vs Falcons trend to know
The Miami Dolphins have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI). Find more NFL betting trends for Dolphins vs. Falcons.
How to watch Dolphins vs Falcons
| Location | Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA |
| Date | Sunday, October 26, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | CBS |
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