The Cleveland Browns delivered a dominant win over the Miami Dolphins in Week 7, but they’ll have their hands full when they hit the road to face the New England Patriots.
My Browns vs. Patriots predictions ultimately expect a low-scoring affair in Foxborough.
Here are my best NFL picks for this Week 8 matchup on Sunday, October 26.
Want to make sure Covers shows up often in your Google search results and Discover feed?
Simply click here and add Covers as one of your "source preferences".
Browns vs Patriots prediction
Browns vs Patriots Best bet: Under 40.5 (-115)
The New England Patriots have allowed just 19 points per game this season, good for the fifth-fewest in the NFL. Meanwhile, the Cleveland Browns have surrendered 21.7 ppg, tied for 13th-fewest.
Each team has picked up its defensive intensity over its last three games. In that span, the Browns have limited opponents to just 16.7 ppg (fourth-fewest), and the Patriots have given up 17.3 ppg (fifth-fewest).
Cleveland and New England are each 3-4 to the Under this season. The Browns have hit the Under in two of three on the road, while the Patriots have cashed the Under in two of three at home.
Both defenses combined for six takeaways in their latest victories, and I expect those units to spearhead a tough, low-scoring affair.
Browns vs Patriots same-game parlay
New England has been stout against the run this season, but the Pats rank in the bottom 10 in passing yards allowed per game. Dillon Gabriel wasn’t needed much in the dominant Week 7 win, but I expect at least one passing touchdown here.
Drake Maye has been on a roll this season, keeping the Patriots in the mix for first place in the AFC East. He’s thrown at least two touchdown passes in five of his last six games, and Cleveland is stronger against the run than the pass.
Browns vs Patriots SGP
- Under 40.5
- Dillon Gabriel Over 0.5 passing touchdowns
- Drake Maye Over 1.5 passing touchdowns
Our big-ticket SGP: Stefon Up
Despite leading the Patriots in targets, receptions, and receiving yards, Stefon Diggs has somehow failed to find the endzone in 2025.
Cleveland’s defense has locked down opposing rushers, so an emphasis on the passing game in Week 8 favors Diggs finally hitting paydirt.
Browns vs Patriots SGP
- Under 40.5
- Dillon Gabriel Over 0.5 passing touchdowns
- Drake Maye Over 1.5 passing touchdowns
- Stefon Diggs anytime touchdown
Browns vs Patriots odds
- Spread: Cleveland +7 (-110) | New England -7 (-110)
- Moneyline: Cleveland +290 | New England -360
- Over/Under: Over 40.5 (-110) | Under 40.5 (-110)
More NFL picks and odds from Covers
Browns vs Patriots trend to know
Cleveland and New England have combined to hit the Under in eight of 14 games this season. Find more NFL betting trends for Browns vs. Patriots.
How to watch Browns vs Patriots
| Location | Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA |
| Date | Sunday, October 12, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | FOX |
Browns vs Patriots latest injuries
Browns vs Patriots weather
Monitor gametime conditions with our live NFL weather info and learn how weather impacts NFL betting.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
