Wyoming vs Boise State Picks and Predictions: Big Spread Misleading in Defensive Showdown

Two closely-matched teams square off with an inexplicably massive spread in favor of Boise State over Wyoming. While the Broncos may maintain their matchup dominance, find out why it will be closer than anticipated in our free betting picks.

Last Updated: Nov 11, 2021 4:11 PM ET Read Time: 4 min
Chad Muma Wyoming College Football
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A Mountain West showdown is on tap for Friday night in college football betting action as the Wyoming Cowboys travel to the blue turf to take on the Boise State Broncos. 

Although Boise State is 14-1 all-time opposite Wyoming, the games have generally been close. Last year saw the Broncos edge out a 17-9 victory on a snowy night in Laramie.

Will the Broncos extend their dominance in the series, or will Wyoming pull off the road upset?

We’ve got you covered with our free picks and predictions for the Wyoming Cowboys vs. the Boise State Broncos on Friday, November 12.

Wyoming vs Boise State odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

Boise State opened -15.5 at most books, but the line has moved to -13.5 at the time of this writing. Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until kickoff and be sure to check out the full college football odds before placing your bets.

Wyoming vs Boise State picks

Picks made on 11/11/2021 at 2:16 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Wyoming vs Boise State game info

Location: Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID
Date: Friday, November 12, 2021
Time: 9:00 p.m. ET

Wyoming vs Boise State betting preview


Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NCAA football weather info.

Key injuries

Wyoming: Alex Brown WR (Questionable), Ayden Eberhardt WR (Out), Ravontae Holt DL (Out).
Boise State: Will Farrar OL (Questionable), Kekaniokoa Helemalia-Gonzalez OL (Questionable), Michael Callahan DL (Questionable), Aisa Kelemete DL (Out), Damon Cole CB (Questionable), Markel Reed CB (Questionable).
Find our latest NCAA football injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings between these two schools. Find more NCAA betting trends for Wyoming vs. Boise State.

Wyoming vs Boise State predictions

This is a double-take-inducing line. It's a matchup between two 5-4 schools that have put relatively similar products on the field in 2021, and yet the Broncos are favored by two touchdowns? 

Sure, Boise State looked much improved in last week’s 40-14 drubbing of Fresno State, but the Broncos benefited from three Bulldogs turnovers in that game, and the final score is an outlier. It’s been a down year overall under head coach Andy Avalos, as the Broncos are being outgained on the season (5.3 yards per play offensively, 5.7 defensively). 

Boise State usually enjoys a strong home-field advantage, but it’s worth noting that the Broncos are on a three-game losing streak at Albertsons Stadium after losses to Oklahoma State, Nevada, and Air Force. This team is more vulnerable than they've been in a long, long time. Is this Wyoming's chance to notch a win in this matchup? 

Avalos gave credit to Wyoming’s physicality in press conferences this week. This will be a tough, physical football game in which Wyoming does everything in its power to muck things up and keep the score close. That’s generally a style of play that works for underdogs, especially when they have an effective running game (39th in the country with 192 yards per game) and solid defense (4.9 yards per play allowed).

Wyoming’s fantastic pass defense (ranked 4th with 155.7 yards per game allowed) should limit struggling Boise quarterback Hank Bachmeier. If Boise has to rely on the run game, it’s not exactly reassuring that it’s been held under 80 rushing yards in nearly half its games.

We’ll take the two-score underdog in what appears to be a close game.

Only one team has reached the 400-yard mark in a game against this stingy Cowboys defense, and that came all the way back in Week 2. Linebacker Chad Muma leads the way with 89 tackles (7 for losses) and earned Mountain West Defensive Player of the Week Honors after registering 11 tackles in a win against Colorado State.

Wyoming welcomes Levi Williams at quarterback for his third start behind center. Williams is a big, physical runner, which will lead to fewer passing attempts and more rushes while helping to drain the clock. The Cowboys have attempted no more than 22 passes in Williams’s two starts, and no more than 30 all season long. Boise State’s defense has found another gear lately, allowing only 18.5 points per game in its last four outings. This has the makings of a close, low-scoring ball game — give us the Under.

College football parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed our Wyoming vs. Boise State picks, you could win $27.10 on a $10 bet?

Use our college football parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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