The American Athletic Conference Championship game will feature two teams that recently had their College Football Playoff dreams shattered when the Army Black Knights take on the Tulane Green Wave in West Point on Friday night.
My favorite Tulane vs. Army props and college football picks shine a light on Army QB Bryson Daily for Friday, December 6.
Tulane vs Army props for the AAC Championship
Bryson Daily Over 131.5 rushing yards (-115 at BetMGM)
Darian Mensah Over 174.5 passing yards (-115at BetMGM)- Bryson Daily 2+ touchdowns (+200 at BetMGM)
Picks made on 12-6.
Read full analysis of each pick.
Tulane vs Army college football player props
Prop bet #1: Bryson Daily Over 131.5 rushing yards
The Tulane defense is very good, but Army quarterback Bryson Daily is going to run on anyone. Just two weeks ago against Notre Dame in a 49-14 loss, he still ran for 145 yards on 38 carries. This game is much more of a toss-up and Daily averages 135.4 yards per game this season.
Daily has run for at least 136 yards in seven of his last eight games and in each of the last five games. In two of the three games in which he failed to run for this number, the game was a complete blowout, and he had no need to run it late since they were up 40 points. Only the game at Florida Atlantic back in early September was a non-blowout in which he failed to run for this number and that was still a 17-point win for Army.
Last week, Tulane allowed 236 yards rushing to Memphis and their leading rusher had 177 yards. The only concern is that two weeks ago, they shut out Navy and held them to 100 yards rushing. However, this Army team, and especially Daily is much better than the Navy quarterbacks in the run game and this should be another volume-heavy game for Daily.
Prop bet #2: Darian Mensah Over 174.5 passing yards
Tulane quarterback Darian Mensah has a shockingly low passing yard line here given that this is not a game like Navy, where he will not be needed to throw it around. Army has a Top 10 rushing defense nationally and Daily is going to run on this Tulane defense. Mensah will be needed to get things done through the air.
Mensah has at least 175 yards passing in seven games this season and has surpassed this number in four of the past five games. The Army defense allows 192.5 passing yards per game and is mediocre at rushing the quarterback and getting sacks. Last week, Army allowed 207 yards passing in a low-scoring close game.
Army even allowed 214 yards passing three weeks ago to a North Texas team that only scored three points in a game with a total of 17 points. With likely issues finding room in the run game, Mensah will get the volume needed for him to surpass this number. I like his chances of taking advantage of this opportunity.
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Prop bet #3: Bryson Daily 2+ touchdowns
Since Daily is a quarterback, it is worth pointing out that we are talking rushing/receiving touchdowns here and not passing touchdowns. However, given that he has 25 rushing touchdowns and only eight passing touchdowns this season, it should not be too much of a shock.
Daily has run for at least two touchdowns in all but one game this season. That Florida Atlantic game we mentioned previously was his only game without multiple rushing touchdowns. He was completely held out of the endzone in that game.
The low-scoring game possibility should not scare you away at this high of odds. Even in games in which Army only scored two total touchdowns against North Texas and Notre Dame, he had both of them. Tulane has allowed 13 rushing touchdowns this season and allowed two last week to Memphis.
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