The C-USA Championship game between the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers and Jacksonville State Gamecocks is the second meeting between the two conference rivals in as many weeks.
The C-USA title clash has the highest total on the Week 15 slate, and my Western Kentucky vs. Jacksonville State prop picks are based on a high-scoring battle.
Read on as I explain my college football picks for Friday, December 6.
Western Kentucky vs Jacksonville State props for C-USA Championship
Caden Veltkamp Over 265.5 passing yards (-114 at FanDuel)
Tre Stewart Over 106.5 rushing yards (-115 at BetMGM)- Brock Rechsteiner Over 8.5 receiving yards (-114 at FanDuel)
Picks made on 12-6.
Read full analysis of each pick.
Western Kentucky vs Jacksonville State college football player props
Prop bet #1: Caden Veltkamp Over 265.5 passing yards
The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are known for big-arm quarterbacks, and sophomore quarterback Caden Veltkamp is no exception. The sophomore signal-caller has thrown for the second-most passing yards in C-USA this season and is coming off a 301-yard passing day in Week 14 against this Jacksonville State Gamecocks defense.
The Hilltoppers are a +5 underdog. The game script may call for Vetltkamp to sling the ball more often than his typical 29 times per game. That’s fine because throwing the football is what Vetltcamp does. He’s averaging a career-best 8.3 yards per completion with a 67% completion percentage.
Veltkamp should get some help. Jacksonville State doesn’t defend the airways as well as some, allowing a 59.5% completion percentage and 7.6 yards per reception. That amounts to 221 passing yards allowed, and less than optimal for defending Veltkamp.
My Western Kentucky vs. Jacksonville State predictions think the leaky Gamecocks secondary is getting lit up on Friday. Veltkamp has cleared 266 passing yards in three of his last six, including 301 in Week 14 against these Gamecocks.
Prop bet #2: Tre Stewart Over 106.5 rushing yards
Senior running back Tre Stewart is the leading man in the Jacksonville State backfield.
Stewart leads the Gamecocks in rushing yards and led C-USA during the regular season with 1,403 rushing yards (1,103 vs. conference opponents).
Stewart and quarterback Tyler Huff have each scampered for 1,000+ rushing yards. Huff is a game-time decision, but either way, I expect Stewart to rush for more than 106.5 rushing yards.
Western Kentucky owns the worst rushing defense in C-USA play. They’ve surrendered 217 rushing yards per night on 4.8 yards per carry. They held Stewart to only 85 yards on 20 attempts, but I expect Stewie to be the man on Friday.
Stewart has cleared 109 rushing yards in six of his past eight. Stewart has been unstoppable, and with Huff’s ankle banged up, the Gamecocks will lean heavily on their top back.
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Prop bet #3: Brock Rechsteiner Over 8.5 receiving yards
Jacksonville State wide receiver Brock Rechsteiner could be a busy man on Friday.
The junior wideout is usually the third option in the Gamecocks passing scheme, but the quarterback injury situation could create additional pass-catching opportunities.
Rechsteiner has at least one reception in every game he’s played this season. He averages 15.8 yards per reception and caught one ball for 10 yards last week against the Hilltoppers.
Western Kentucky allows 7.8 yards per reception. That’s pretty stingy, and they don’t get beat often for long plays. That makes Rechsteiner a valuable option, especially if Huff can’t run the ball effectively.
Rechsteiner is a WR who makes plays. He averages 15.8 yards per reception, with at least one reception in 10 consecutive tilts and three multi-reception games this season.
He meets a stingy Hilltoppers pass defense who will likely jam the box to prevent the rush. One reception from Rechsteiner will likely win this bet, and one bet I want to make is for him to clear 8.5 receiving yards.
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