I’m expecting fireworks when the undefeated and No. 3-ranked Texas A&M Aggies head to Columbia to take on the No. 22-ranked Missouri Tigers.
Well, at least enough fireworks to go Over this modest total. And what do Overs mean? Touchdowns, of course. So I’ve built an SGP that features plenty of scoring in this important conference clash.
For even more college football picks for this SEC matchup, check out my Texas A&M vs. Missouri predictions.
Our best Texas A&M vs Missouri SGP for Week 11
Quarterback Marcel Reed leads an explosive Texas A&M Aggies offense that ranks 7th in EPA per play and 19th in offensive success rate.
On paper, the Missouri Tigers are a tough matchup. They are 6-2 with the two losses coming to two ranked opponents by a combined 10 points. They are at home and have a very strong defense.
But this is not the first strong defense that the Aggies have come across this season. Texas A&M has put up 49 points on LSU, 34 points on Florida, and 41 points on Notre Dame.
Meanwhile, it may feel like Mizzou is in trouble from an offensive standpoint with QB Beau Pribula's injury to his ankle in the team’s loss to Vanderbilt. But head coach Eli Drinkwitz has had an extra week of practice with backup Matt Zollers, who is touted as having a talented arm.
And it's not like the Aggies haven't given up points this season. They've given up 40-burgers to Notre Dame and Arkansas, and even an offensively challenged LSU put up 25 points in their last game.
This total feels like it is overcompensating for the loss of Pribula. Texas A&M will continue to roll, and Zollers will be better than expected. Start this SGP with the Over.
And if we’re going Over in this SEC clash, we’re going to need some touchdowns. Not many in this matchup have done it better than the Aggies' KC Concepcion and the Tigers’ Ahmad Hardy.
Concepcion is having an outstanding season for Texas A&M. The Aggies' wideout has 36 catches for 545 yards and seven touchdowns. He's found the end zone at least once in five games this season and in three of the last four overall.
Meanwhile, a young quarterback will be happy to have a guy like Hardy to lean on in a matchup like this. Hardy has rumbled for 937 yards with 11 touchdowns this season and has scored in all but two games this season.
Add both Concepcion and Hardy anytime TDs to this SGP.
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