These programs may be headed in different directions, but both bring plenty of intrigue into this matchup.
The Aggies are looking to strengthen their College Football Playoff resume and add legitimacy to the steady build of the Mike Elko era.
On the other sideline, interim head coach Bobby Petrino is aiming to make a statement — both for his team and for his own case to take the permanent job in Fayetteville.
Here’s how I see it playing out in my Texas A&M vs. Arkansas predictions and college football picks for Saturday, October 18.
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Texas A&M vs Arkansas prediction
Texas A&M vs Arkansas best bet: Marcel Reed anytime touchdown (-160 at FanDuel)
While I don’t recommend making a habit of betting a -160 in college football, the value here is too strong to pass up. My fair projection was closer to -205, which makes this my best bet of the week and my first two-unit play of the season.
Arkansas’ defense has been a glaring weakness all year, especially against the run. The Razorbacks rank 120th nationally in EPA allowed per rush, and the deeper metrics only confirm what the film shows: this is a group that gets bullied at the line of scrimmage and struggles to create disruption.
Their havoc rate sits in the bottom third of the country, signaling a lack of playmaking and penetration up front.
Meanwhile, Marcel Reed’s designed run usage has climbed steadily over the past few weeks, particularly in redzone situations. The combination of his rushing volume, Arkansas’ inability to contain the ground game, and their overall lack of physicality gives this play a clear edge.
When you combine those elements, it’s difficult to justify this number being as short as it is, and that’s why I’m comfortable laying the price. He will find paydirt.
Texas A&M vs Arkansas same-game parlay
We’re getting a strong non-correlated parlay boost here as I looked to account for the pregame scheme edge that I believe Arkansas will have. The Hogs gave Tennessee a real scare last week, and as mentioned earlier, I think they can find some early offensive success in this matchup.
That led me to take a shot on the first quarter moneyline. I paired it with the Over since the reasons for liking points are clear and supported by both matchup data and my projections.
Texas A&M vs Arkansas SGP
- Marcel Reed anytime touchdown
- Over 61.5
- Arkansas 1Q ML
Our deep-ball SGP: Aggies Seize Command
While I think Arkansas gets off to a strong start, after that, I expect Texas A&M to take control which means that the Hogs will be chasing points. Naturally that points to throwing more and I suspect this number for Taylen Green is very achievable because of that.
I’ll also use this opportunity to fade the Arkansas defense once again and take Mario Craver to go over his receiving total. He’s surpassed this number in half of his games this season with most of those teams having better defensive numbers.
Texas A&M vs Arkansas SGP
- Marcel Reed anytime touchdown
- Over 61.5
- Arkansas 1Q
- Taylen Green Over 240.5 passing yards
- Mario Craver Over 84.5 receiving yards
Texas A&M vs Arkansas odds
- Spread: Texas A&M -7.5 (-115) | Arkansas +7.5 (-105)
- Moneyline: Texas A&M -310 | Arkansas +250
- Over/Under: Over 61.5 (-105) | Under 61.5 (-115)
Texas A&M vs Arkansas trend to know
Texas A&M has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI). Find more college football betting trends for Texas A&M vs Arkansas.
How to watch Texas A&M vs Arkansas
| Location | Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, AR |
| Date | Saturday, October 18, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 3:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
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