With the first Week 0 kickoff drawing near, it's time to look at the college football public betting report!
There are some teams taking lopsided action, like USC and Florida State, but there are also a few games with the favorite getting barely above 60% of support from Kalshi users.
Let's size up the outright markets for Week 0 college football picks below.
College football public betting picks for Week 0
| Matchup | Pick |
|---|---|
 UNCvs  TCU |
76% |
 San Jose Statevs  USC |
99% |
 NC Statevs  Virginia |
64% |
 Jacksonville Statevs  NDSU |
71% |
 Sacramento Statevs  Eastern Michigan |
77% |
 Hawaiivs  Stanford |
64% |
 New Mexico Statevs  Florida State |
98% |
 Memphisvs  UNLV |
63% |
Probabilities courtesy of Kalshi, one of our best prediction market apps. Use our odds converter tool to compare percentages to American, decimal, and fractional odds.
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NCAAF public betting picks and analysis for Week 0
UNC vs TCU: TCU
Kalshi probability: 76% | Volume: $928,035
With nearly $1 million in the pool, TCU is taking over two of every three dollars invested by Kalshi users. Is it smart money, or is it just Week 0 hate betting vs. Bill Belichick?
Check out our full UNC vs. TCU predictions.
San Jose State vs USC: USC
Kalshi probability: 99% | Volume: $1,039,103
If you saw a penny on the sidewalk, would you pick it up? That's the thought process for whoever's putting their dollars on USC at 99%, and there's a lot of them with over $1 million in this market.
Check out our full San Jose State vs. USC predictions.
NC State vs Virginia: Virginia
Kalshi probability: 64% | Volume: $179,523
This all-ACC clash is attracting far fewer dollars than the first two Week 0 affairs we discussed. That said, well over 60% of the market is on the Cavaliers.
Check out our full NC State vs. Virginia predictions.
Jacksonville State vs NDSU: NDSU
Kalshi probability: 71% | Volume: $46,558
Over 70% of Kalshi traders believe the North Dakota State Bison (that's pronounced "Bye-Zahn") will make their FBS debut a winning one over Jacksonville State.
Check out our full Jacksonville State vs. NDSU predictions.
Sacramento State vs Eastern Michigan: Eastern Michigan
Kalshi probability: 77% | Volume: $55,010
If you didn't know that Sacramento State existed until today, join the club. Kalshi users are ignoring the Hornets too, with 77% backing the the MAC's Eastern Michigan Eagles.
Check out our full Sacramento State vs. Eastern Michigan predictions.
Hawaii vs Stanford: Stanford
Kalshi probability: 64% | Volume: $144,071
Hawaii beat Stanford at home in Week 0 last year. Kalshi users see the Cardinal returning the favor in California today, with 64% of the college football Week 0 moneyline picks siding against the Rainbow Warriors.
Check out our full Hawaii vs. Stanford predictions.
New Mexico State vs Florida State: Florida State
Kalshi probability: 98% | Volume: $274,971
Not quite as strong as USC, but up there. The Florida State are getting 98 cents of every dollar from Kalshi users in this market vs. overmatched New Mexico State.
Check out our full New Mexico State vs. Florida State predictions.
Memphis vs UNLV: UNLV
Kalshi probability: 63% | Volume: $76,364
Both Memphis and UNLV and hoping to make some postseason noise via smaller conferences in 2026. In the closest game in the Week 0 market, 63% of Kalshi users are rolling with the Rebels to tame the Tigers.
Check out our full Memphis vs. UNLV predictions.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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