Houston vs Texas Tech Computer Picks: Our Best Week 3 Player Prop Projections

Chris Gregory - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Chris Gregory • Betting Analyst 5+ years betting experience
Updated: Sep 18, 2026 , 11:00 AM ET • 4 min read

Our Houston vs. Texas Tech computer picks expect Will Hammond and Coy Eakin to shine for the Red Raiders tonight.

Will Hammond Texas Tech Red Raiders Big 12 college football
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Will Hammond during action against Texas Tech's win over Oregon State.

Houston heads to Lubbock, Texas, to take on the Texas Tech Red Raiders in a major Big 12 battle tonight. 

Conner Weigman and Will Hammond will do battle under center, and they're at the top of our Houston vs. Texas computer picks, but today's college football picks also eye a couple of key receiving options on both sides.  

Houston vs Texas Tech computer picks

For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.

Houston Houston Texas Tech Texas Tech
Conner Weigman u229.5 passing yards
54%
Will Hammond o225.5 passing yards
57%
Patrick Overmyer o39.5 receiving yards
55%
J'Koby Williams o64.5 rushing yards
54%
Amare Thomas o68.5 receiving yards
53%
Coy Eakin o48.5 receiving yards
52%

Percentages courtesy of ProphetX, one of the best prediction market apps.

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Houston computer picks

Conner Weigman Under 229.5 passing yards

Projection: 222.2 passing yards

This is only a slight lean to the Under for the Covers prop projections, but this is still a pretty big number for any quarterback on the road against a normally stout Texas Tech defense.

🏈 trade Weigman passing yards now

Patrick Overmyer Over 39.5 receiving yards

Projection: 52.5 receiving yards

Patrick Overmyer was quiet in Houston's Week 2 blowout win but shouldered more of the load against Oregon State, when he caught six balls for 84 yards. His number will get called early and often as Weigman looks to keep the chains moving. This is a five-star play with the projection calling for 50+ yards.

🔥 Trade Overmyer rushing yards now

Amare Thomas Over 68.5 receiving yards

Projection: 82.1 receiving yards

Amare Thomas leads the Cougars in targets (17), receptions (11), and yards (162) through two games, and went off for eight catches and 133 yards against Oregon State. This is another five-star play with a 14-yard gap between this prop and the 82-yard projection.

🔥 Trade Thomas receiving yards now

Texas Tech computer picks

Will Hammond Over 225.5 passing yards

Projection: 255.2 passing yards

With 30 yards of leeway between this 225.5-yard total and the projection, this is one of the best plays of the game. Houston's defense gave up 376 passing yards to Oregon State and will be in tough to contain Hammond tonight.

🔥 Trade Hammond passing yards now

J'Koby Williams Over 64.5 rushing yards

Projection: 68.9 rushing yards

Texas Tech's RB1 has cleared this number in both games thus far, including 116 yards on 20 carries against Oregon State last weekend. This is only a slight lean to the Over, but we know for a fact Williams will get his touches.

🔥 Trade Williams rushing yards now

Coy Eakin Over 48.5 receiving yards

Projection: 54.6 receiving yards

Coy Eakin is coming off a six-catch, 79-yard performance against Oregon State in Week 2. This projection is calling for north of 50 yards, and he also torched Houston for 10 catches and 81 yards when these teams met last season.

🔥 Trade Eakin receiving yards now Not intended for use in MA.
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Chris Gregory Covers.com
Betting Analyst

In his four years on the Covers editorial team, Chris Gregory has helped bolster the site’s golf and college football coverage. He brings a journalism and marketing background to his work as a Publishing Editor and can be found across our site covering the Masters, college football futures, and more.

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