Remember when the Sooners started 0-2 in the Big 12, Lincoln Riley was on the hot seat and the conference was up for the taking? A lot has changed in college football betting since then, including Oklahoma once again being the favorite to take home yet another Big 12 crown.
The Sooners will likely stroll into the championship game following a win over the awful Baylor Bears, but can they cover a big spread in the process? Let’s take a closer look and see what we can find.
Here are our best college football free picks and predictions for Baylor at No. 11 Oklahoma. Kickoff is set for Saturday, November 5 at 8:00 ET.
Baylor Bears at Oklahoma Sooners Betting Preview
Norman will be chilly on Saturday night, with a temperature of 34 degrees and wind out of the north-northwest at 6 mph. There is a negligible chance of precipitation. Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NCAA football weather info.
Baylor: Jackson Kimble OL (Questionable), Byron Hanspard Jr. CB (Questionable), Gerry Bohanon QB (Questionable), Craig Williams RB (Out), Terrel Bernard LB (Out).
Oklahoma: Laron Stokes DL (Questionable), Jadon Haselwood WR (Questionable), Justin Broiles S (Questionable), Jaden Davis CB (Questionable), Kendall Dennis CB (Out), Finley Felix OL (Out), Obi Obialo WR (Out), Greydon Williams WR (Out).
Find our latest NCAA football injury reports.
Betting Trend to Know
The Sooners are 5-0 ATS in their last five games. Find more NCAA betting trends for Baylor vs. Oklahoma.
Against the Spread (ATS) Pick
The Bears haven’t been a good team this season, but they were good enough last Saturday. Baylor got a 30-yard field goal from John Mayers on the final play of the game for a 32-31 victory against Kansas State, their second victory of the season. Charlie Brewer leads the Bears offense with 1,627 passing yards, 13 touchdowns and six interceptions this season, and he’s had to earn it: Brewer has been sacked 17 times behind Baylor’s porous offensive line.
After that rough start to conference play, the Sooners have been cruising. Their game in Morgantown against West Virginia was canceled last week because of COVID-19, but Oklahoma is coming off an impressive performance two weeks ago when they dominated Oklahoma State 41-13. Quarterback Spencer Rattler lit up the Cowboys for 301 yards and four touchdowns, while running Rhamondre Stevenson did the damage on the ground with 141 yards rushing.
This is a big number, to be sure, but I can’t bet against a Sooners team that is playing its best football of the season and one that will be at home against a completely overmatched Baylor team.
PREDICTION: Oklahoma -22.0 (-110)
Oklahoma averages 45 points per game, which is good for sixth in the country, so it’s tempting to bet the Over.
However, I expect the Sooners to jump out to a big early lead and then take their foot off the gas to stay healthy and get ready for the Big 12 Championship game. The Under is 5-1 in Baylor’s last six road games, so that’s where I’m siding.
PREDICTION: Under 62.5 (-110)
Team Total Pick
The Sooners have averaged 55 points in their last three games, and an offense this dangerous getting an extra week of rest should be able to put up points at will.
This game could get out of hand early, and I don’t think Oklahoma will have any problems eclipsing its team total.
PREDICTION: Oklahoma team total Over 43.5 (-120)
Baylor vs Oklahoma Betting Card
- Oklahoma -22.0 (-110)
- Under 62.5 (-110)
- Oklahoma team total Over 43.5 (-120)
Did you know that if you parlayed today’s NCAA Baylor vs. Oklahoma picks, you could win $56.82 on a $10 bet?
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