College Football Underdog Picks & Upset Predictions for Week 2

Colby Marchio - Contributor at Covers.com
Colby Marchio • Betting Analyst 7+ years betting experience
Updated: Sep 10, 2026 , 02:32 PM ET • 4 min read

We’re three weeks into the season, and some teams have already traveled across the globe and back again. Will all those early miles start to take a toll on these players?

Luke Montgomery Ohio State College Football
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Ohio State Buckeyes offensive lineman Luke Montgomery (51) celebrates during the NCAA football game against the Texas Longhorns at Ohio Stadium

Week 2 is here, and so are this week’s college football underdog picks!

I found three underdogs with some bite, sprinkled across the next few days.

Before you dive in, check out all of our college football picks for Week 2 action.

CFB Week 2 underdog picks

For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, please see our odds calculator.

Pick Kalshi
Probability
 Rutgers Rutgers 41%
 North Texas North Texas 41%
 Ohio State Ohio State 47%

Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.

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Rutgers Rutgers (vs. Boston College)

Kalshi probability: 41%

Following their embarrassing 37-21 loss to UMass as a nearly 30-point favorite, the Rutgers Scarlet Knights have to pack up and head to Boston to take on the Boston College Eagles.

Rutgers enters Friday as a 3.5-point underdog against a Boston College team also coming off a Week 1 loss. The only difference? The Eagles weren't favored by 30 points against Cincinnati. They were 7.5-point underdogs.

In that 34-15 loss, the Eagles turned the ball over on the ground and through the air. Their defense also allowed the Bearcats to run right through them, giving up more than 250 yards on the ground.

Before the season, Rutgers had a lot of positives to build on, including returning talent along the offensive line and running back Antwan Raymond, who rushed for more than 1,200 yards a season ago. If the Scarlet Knights can put last week in the rearview mirror and focus on the Eagles, they have a chance to come out on top.

Last week was rock bottom. Now, it's time to climb out of that hole.

North Texas North Texas (vs. UNLV)

Kalshi probability: 41%

The UNLV Rebels have been traveling all over the globe over the last two weeks. They were on the island last week, rolling past the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors, 21-6. Now, they have to travel to Denton, Texas, to take on a North Texas team coming off a strong showing against the reigning national champion Indiana Hoosiers.

That is a lot of early travel for the team, for you, for anyone.

Even with this North Texas team being completely revamped after losing star quarterback Drew Mestemaker to Oklahoma State, along with other key talent, the Mean Green managed to outgain Indiana, averaging 5.5 yards per play in their 52-16 loss.

That matchup against the Hoosiers should be the perfect gut check to kick off the season and prepare this team for the remainder of the year.

Ohio State Ohio State (vs. Texas)

Kalshi probability: 47%

Game of the week, as the Texas Longhorns host the Ohio State Buckeyes in a rematch of last year's Week 1 matchup, where the Buckeyes won 14-7 at home.

Despite thinking Texas' offense will be much better than it was a year ago, the Longhorns' defensive performance against Texas State, allowing nearly 350 total yards, is concerning. The Bobcats probably should have scored a lot more than seven points in that game.

We saw how well Ohio State defensive coordinator Matt Patricia prepared for Arch Manning last season. It wouldn't be a surprise if the Buckeyes defense finds a way to frustrate him once again.

I expect this Ohio State offense to come out fast to punch the Longhorns in the mouth early, silencing the home crowd, and securing back-to-back wins against Texas.

Week 2 underdog combo

Rutgers

North Texas

Ohio State

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Colby Marchio
Betting Analyst

Colby Marchio is a two-time DePaul alum and former Division 1 (club) baseball player who has been sports betting since 2019. Since graduating in 2021, he has worked throughout the media circuit, hosting and appearing on various television and radio shows while making countless guest appearances discussing Major League Baseball, college basketball, college football, and the National Football League.

A self-proclaimed numbers nerd, Colby may enjoy digging through the data even more than winning itself. That passion is why his two favorite sports to cover are college basketball and Major League Baseball. 

As for his favorite sportsbook, it is whichever one has the best price, or whichever one is not taxing him as an Illinois resident. 

You can find all of his plays and more @ColbyMBets on Twitter/X.

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