San Diego State vs New Mexico Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's College Basketball Game

Expect the offenses to shine when SDSU visits New Mexico in The Pit today, per our college basketball betting picks.

Eric Rosales - Contributor at Covers.com
Eric Rosales • Betting Analyst
Feb 28, 2026 • 10:23 ET • 4 min read

NCAAB

Match starts: 2 hrs
SDSU
43 %
UNM
57 %
Read Analysis
San Diego State Aztecs NCAAM Reese Dixon-Waters
Photo By - Reuters Connect. San Diego State Aztecs guard Reese Dixon-Waters.

The San Diego State Aztecs pulled into a tie for first place in the Mountain West Conference with a win over top-seeded Utah State. Now, they try to stay there when they visit a team just below them in the standings in the New Mexico Lobos.

My San Diego State vs. New Mexico predictions and college basketball picks believe the high stakes will translate to a high-scoring affair on Saturday, February 28.

San Diego State vs New Mexico prediction

San Diego State vs New Mexico best bet: Over 148.5 (-116)

The New Mexico Lobos had a three-game win streak snapped with a 67-60 loss at Nevada, their second-lowest point total of the season.

They return home, where they are averaging 92.2 points per game in the last 10.

The San Diego State Aztecs have the fourth-ranked offense in the conference. They hung 89 on Utah State in a 17-point blowout win. 

They’ve won seven of 11, including an 89-73 triumph over UNM.

The Lobos have combined with their opponents to score better than 151 points in six straight at home.

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San Diego State vs New Mexico same-game parlay

The Aztecs are coming off their biggest win of the season, and if they can pick up this W at New Mexico, they will be in the drivers’ seat for the Mountain West regular season crown.

SDSU has held its own on the road this year, going 5-3 this season.

San Diego State vs New Mexico SGP

  • Over 148.5
  • San Diego State moneyline

San Diego State vs New Mexico odds

  • Spread: San Diego State +2.5 | New Mexico -2.5
  • Moneyline: San Diego State +125 | New Mexico -150
  • Over/Under: Over 149.5 | Under 149.5

San Diego State vs New Mexico betting trend to know

San Diego State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of its last 25 games (+12.40 Units / 9% ROI). Find more college basketball betting trends for San Diego State vs. New Mexico.

How to watch San Diego State vs New Mexico

Location The Pit, Albuquerque, NM
Date Saturday, February 28, 2026
Tip-off 2:00 p.m. ET
TV CBS

San Diego State vs New Mexico key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Eric Rosales - Covers
Betting Analyst

Eric has been involved in sports media in many different capacities since graduating from journalism school in 1999, back when getting your own column in a newspaper was still considered a thing. He doubled down and graduated from broadcast journalism school five years later, which led to a move to Toronto and a career with The Sports Network (TSN). From behind-the-scenes production work, he moved into the digital realm, where he had his own hoops column (At the Buzzer), while regularly live streaming and chatting with fans during broadcasts as the character known as LeBlog James. He was also a key contributor to TSN and CTV’s Olympic programming during the 2012 London Games.

Eric eventually found his way into the sports betting field in 2016 and has been a mainstay ever since. He was tagged on Twitter as a Top 10 NBA sharp during the 2021 season and has been interviewed about basketball and his handicapping process on shows from Vancouver to India. Eric is now a jack-of-all-sports at Covers, where his predictions span the alphabet soup: NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, F1, WNBA, Euro, and Copa.

When making picks, he focuses on finding value first and foremost, and ensuring readers have all the information they need to make an informed choice.

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