North Carolina vs Miami Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's College Basketball Game

The Tar Heels are coming off an emotional win against No. 4 Duke and we're backing them to avoid a letdown against a Miami squad that is 0-3 against ranked teams.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Feb 10, 2026 • 12:25 ET • 4 min read

NCAAB

Match starts: 5 hrs
UNC
51 %
MIA
49 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
North Carolina -115 North Carolina -115
Read Analysis
North Carolina Tar Heels Seth Trimble NCAAB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. The North Carolina Tar Heels celebrate the game winning shot against Duke.

The No. 11 ranked North Carolina Tar Heels head to the Sunshine State on Tuesday to face the Miami Hurricanes.

The Tar Heels are fresh off an upset win at home against rival Duke and my North Carolina vs. Miami predictions expects them to avoid a letdown tonight.

Here are my best free college basketball picks for this ACC clash on February 10.

North Carolina vs Miami prediction

North Carolina vs Miami best bet: North Carolina moneyline (-115)

This is a letdown spot for the North Carolina Tar Heels who are coming off a win against Duke. However, that's built into this line which looks off when you consider the talent disparity between these teams. 

The Miami Hurricanes are 18-5 but have played the weakest schedule in the ACC and don't have a single win against a team in the BPI top 50. They've dropped three of their last six, including home losses against Cal and FSU who are nowhere near as good as UNC.

UNC has five victories against top 50 BPI teams and should add another here.

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North Carolina vs Miami same-game parlay

The Tar Heels are 8-1 to the Over in their last nine games while Miami is 4-0 O/U in its previous four. Both teams push the pace on offense and struggle to defend the arc which should lead to plenty of points.

UNC is led by five-star freshman forward Caleb Wilson (20.2 ppg, 58.5 FG%) who has dropped 21+ points in eight of his last 11 games.

North Carolina vs Miami SGP

  • North Carolina moneyline
  • Over 157
  • Caleb Wilson Over 20.5 points

Our beyond the arc SGP: Battle of the bigs

Miami is also led by a high-scoring power forward in Malik Reneau (20.0 ppg, 56.5 FG%) who has scored 20+ points in four straight contests.

North Carolina vs Miami SGP

  • North Carolina moneyline
  • Over 157
  • Caleb Wilson Over 20.5 points
  • Malik Reneau Over 19.5 points

North Carolina vs Miami odds

  • Spread: North Carolina -1 | Miami +1
  • Moneyline: North Carolina -115 | Miami -105
  • Over/Under: Over 157 | Under 157

North Carolina vs Miami betting trend to know

The Hurricanes are 1-5 ATS in their last six games while the Tar Heels are 4-1 ATS in their previous five. Find more college basketball betting trends for North Carolina vs. Miami.

How to watch North Carolina vs Miami

Location Watsco Center, Coral Gables, FL
Date Tuesday, February 10, 2026
Tip-off 7:00 p.m. ET
TV ESPN

North Carolina vs Miami key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

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