The biggest rivalry in college basketball adds another chapter today as the No. 4 Duke Blue Devils head to Chapel Hill to face the No. 14 North Carolina Tar Heels.
UNC has won four games in a row but continues to show cracks on defense, and my Duke vs. North Carolina predictions and college basketball picks expect Blue Devils freshman superstar Cameron Boozer to take advantage.
Duke vs North Carolina prediction
Duke vs North Carolina best bet: Cameron Boozer Over 23.5 points (-120)
The North Carolina Tar Heels rank second last in the ACC in adjusted defense during conference play while playing at the third-fastest tempo.
They've surrendered 75+ points in their last three games while allowing 20+ points to forwards Thijs De Ridder, Donnie Freeman, and Baye Ndongo.
That spells trouble against Cameron Boozer and the Duke Blue Devils highly-efficient offense. The Wooden Award favorite averages 23.3 ppg on 58/38/76 shooting splits and can score at all three levels.
With Boozer eclipsing 23.5 points in three of his last five games, back him to clear that number again.
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Duke vs North Carolina same-game parlay
Boozer is also an elite passer who does a great job operating out of the short roll, finding the open man when double-teamed. He has dropped 4+ dimes in seven of his last nine games and is averaging 4.3 apg over that span.
Expect him to kick the ball out to Isiah Evans, who's shooting 33.5% from deep but is due for positive regression since he had a sizzling 41.6 3PT% last year. Evans is still averaging 2.4 threes per game, and UNC allows conference foes to shoot 41.4% from the arc.
Duke vs North Carolina SGP
- Cameron Boozer Over 23.5 points
- Cameron Boozer Over 3.5 assists
- Isaiah Evans Over 2.5 threes
Our beyond the arc SGP: Freshman forwards
UNC is also led by a five-star freshman forward in Caleb Wilson, who has dropped 20+ points in 12 of the last 14 games.
Duke vs North Carolina SGP
- Cameron Boozer Over 23.5 points
- Cameron Boozer Over 3.5 assists
- Isaiah Evans Over 2.5 threes
- Caleb Wilson Over 18.5 points
Duke vs North Carolina odds
- Spread: Duke -5.5 (-105) | North Carolina +5.5 (-115)
- Moneyline: Duke -240 | North Carolina +200
- Over/Under: Over 151.5 (-115) | Under 151.5 (-105)
Duke vs North Carolina betting trend to know
Seven of the Tar Heels' last eight opponents have gone Over their team total. Find more college basketball betting trends for Duke vs. North Carolina.
How to watch Duke vs North Carolina
| Location | Dean E. Smith Center, Chapel Hill, NC |
| Date | Saturday, February 7, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 6:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Duke vs North Carolina key injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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