Lightning vs Canadiens Prediction, Picks & Odds for Friday's NHL Playoffs Game 6

Luc LeBlanc - Betting Editor at Covers.com
Luc LeBlanc • Content Editor 3+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 30, 2026 , 03:00 PM ET • 3 min read

LeBlanc’s prediction: With Tampa Bay on the brink of elimination, Nick Suzuki continues to facilitate the Habs’ attack.

NHL

Match starts: 27 hrs
TB
41 %
MON
59 %
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Nick Suzuki Montreal Canadiens NHL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Montreal Canadiens forward Nick Suzuki (14).

The Montreal Canadiens return to La Belle Province with a chance to eliminate the Tampa Bay Lightning on Friday, May 1. 

My Lightning vs. Canadiens predictions and NHL picks suggest we could be in for another nailbiter at the Bell Centre, with the Habs continuing to get timely contributions from captain Nick Suzuki.

Lightning vs Canadiens Game 6 prediction

Lightning vs Canadiens best bet: Nick Suzuki Over 0.5 assists (-160)

Since the beginning of the 2024-25 season, only four players have registered more assists than Montreal Canadiens captain Nick Suzuki. His 72 points in 82 regular-season games led the Habs and ranked sixth in the entire NHL.

Suzuki has picked up five apples in as many games this series and has nine in his last nine home contests. He’s as reliable as anyone to hit the scoresheet against the Tampa Bay Lightning.

Having already set up Cole Caufield, Lane Hutson, Alex Texier, and Juraj Slafkovsky, Suzuki is the common denominator — no matter who he shares the ice with.

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Lightning vs Canadiens Game 6 same-game parlay

Zachary Bolduc is quietly riding a three-game point streak and leads the team at +6 in this series. He's found encouraging chemistry on the Habs' third line with Texier and Kirby Dach, and they've dominated at five-on-five since the line's formation after Game 2.

Alexandre Carrier's 15 blocked shots trail only teammate Mike Matheson during these playoffs, and he's hit the Over in three of his last four contests. Despite missing nine games during the regular season, Carrier ranked 12th in the NHL in blocked shots.

His 22:50 average ice time marks a significant jump from his 19:05 season average, and Carrier is at plus-odds to record three or more blocked shots in Game 6.

Lightning vs Canadiens SGP

  • Nick Suzuki Over 0.5 assists
  • Zachary Bolduc Over 0.5 points
  • Alexandre Carrier Over 2.5 blocked shots

Lightning vs Canadiens odds for Game 6

  • Moneyline: Lightning -115 | Canadiens -105
  • Puck Line: Lightning -1.5 (+220) | Canadiens +1.5 (-275)
  • Over/Under: Over 5.5 (-110) | Under 5.5 (-110)

Lightning vs Canadiens trend

A 3-2 score has decided four consecutive games in this series, and all five have been one-goal games. Find more NHL betting trends for Lightning vs. Canadiens.

How to watch Lightning vs Canadiens Game 6

Location Bell Centre, Montreal, QC
Date Friday, May 1, 2026
Puck drop 7:00 p.m. ET
TV Sportsnet, ESPN2

Lightning vs Canadiens latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Luc LeBlanc
Content Editor

Luc has been passionate about sports since he was a child, playing competitive hockey and staying closely tuned to professional leagues. Today, he brings that same energy to his work as a Content Editor, covering NHL games, player props, and betting trends with a sharp, analytical eye.

Since 2023, Luc has been writing picks and analysis for various publications, helping readers discover value in several major sports. While hockey is his specialty, he also closely follows tennis, keeping up with both the ATP and WTA Tours.

A graduate of Saint Mary’s University (BSc, Geography, 2025), Luc approaches sports betting the way he approaches maps and statistics by looking for patterns, trends, and angles that give him an edge. He focuses on research-backed and well-informed picks, spotting correlations, and finding the best opportunities in player props and game markets.

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