Auburn vs Alabama Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's College Basketball Game

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst +8 years betting experience
Updated: Mar 7, 2026 , 02:18 PM ET • 4 min read

Ponnaiya's prediction: Auburn has struggled over the last month, and that will lead to an ugly start against a dominant Alabama offense.

NCAAB

Match starts: 4 hrs
AUB
43 %
ALA
57 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
Alabama -4.5 (+100) Alabama -4.5 (+100)
Read Analysis
Alabama Crimson Tide Auburn Tigers college basketball Labaron Philon
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Alabama Crimson Tide guard Labaron Philon drives past an Auburn defender.

The No. 16-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide wrap up their regular season with a clash against the Auburn Tigers tonight. 

The Tide beat the Tigers 96-92 at Neville Arena last month, and my Auburn vs Alabama predictions expect an even bigger victory at home.

Here are my best free college basketball picks for this conference rivalry on Saturday, March 7. 

Auburn vs Alabama prediction

Auburn vs Alabama best bet: Alabama -4.5 (+100)

Before defeating SEC bottom-feeder LSU, Auburn had gone 2-7 SU and 0-9 ATS in its previous nine games.

Auburn ranks last in the conference in opponent eFG% (56.6%) and is set to be overwhelmed by an elite Alabama offense. The Tigers won’t have the firepower to keep up, shooting just 49% from two-point range since the start of February.

While Auburn's biggest offensive strength is drawing fouls, Alabama has the lowest opponent free-throw rate in the SEC. Expect the Crimson Tide to jump out to an early lead.

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Auburn vs Alabama same-game parlay

Alabama guard Labaron Philon Jr. has eclipsed 2.5 threes in nine of his last 13 games. He'll torch a Tigers squad that has allowed foes to shoot 44% from deep over their last 10 games.

The Tide average 93.6 ppg at home, and if Philon knocks down more than 2.5 triples, there's a strong chance they clear their team total. 

Auburn vs Alabama SGP

  • Alabama 1H -4.5
  • Labaron Philon Over 2.5 threes
  • Alabama team total Over 92.5

Our beyond the arc SGP: Raining Threes

Although Bama forward Amari Allen has gone just 1-for-8 from deep over his last two games, he had hit at least two 3-pointers in each of his previous seven contests.

Auburn vs Alabama SGP

  • Amari Allen Over 1.5
  • Labaron Philon Over 2.5 threes
  • Alabama team total Over 92.5
  • Alabama AH -4.5

Auburn vs Alabama odds

  • Spread: Auburn +7.5 | Alabama -7.5
  • Moneyline: Auburn +245 | Alabama -305
  • Over/Under: Over 177.5 | Under 177.5

Auburn vs Alabama betting trend to know

The Tide have covered the first-half spread in 12 of their last 16 home games (39% ROI). Find more college basketball betting trends for Auburn vs. Alabama.

How to watch Auburn vs Alabama

Location Coleman Coliseum, Tuscaloosa, AL
Date Saturday, March 7, 2026
Tip-off 8:30 p.m. ET
TV ESPN

Auburn vs Alabama key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

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