Warriors vs Nuggets Computer Picks: Our Best Player Prop Projections for March 29

Kyle LaRusic - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Kyle LaRusic • Betting Analyst 5+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 29, 2026 , 01:54 PM ET • 4 min read

Our Warriors vs. Nuggets computer picks have six projections for you to add to your NBA picks for this prime-time matchup!

Nikola Jokic (15) against the Phoenix Suns at Mortgage Matchup Center.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Nikola Jokic (15) against the Phoenix Suns at Mortgage Matchup Center.

The Denver Nuggets are on a five-game win streak and welcome the injury-riddled Golden State Warriors to town on Sunday, March 29. 

Our NBA player prop projections have you covered with high-value NBA picks for this matchup.

If you want deeper analysis, look no further than our Warriors vs. Nuggets predictions.

Warriors vs Nuggets computer picks for March 29

Warriors Warriors Nuggets Nuggets
Green o8.5 points
-105
Watson u11.5 points
-110
Santos o4.5 rebounds 
-150
Jokic o1.5 threes 
+115
Porzingis o19.5 points
-115
Murray o23.5 points
-112

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Warriors computer picks

Draymond Green Over 8.5 points (-105)

Projection: 11.2 points

This is a five-star play according to our projections, with the numbers expecting Draymond Green to reach double digits. Both the Golden State Warriors and Denver Nuggets rank in the Top 10 in pace over the last five games, meaning plenty of extra possessions.

With no Steph in the lineup, Draymond hasn't shied away from taking a few extra shots to help his team win.

🔥 Bet green Now at bet365!

Gui Santos Over 4.5 rebounds (-150)

Projection: 6.7 rebounds

This is another five-star play for tonight's matchup, with Gui Santos looking to crash the glass for the Dubs. Missing bodies have opened up minutes for Santos, and he's put those minutes to good use.

He's started back-to-back games and has seen 30+ minutes of action in three straight outings. With so much floor time, he can corral five boards.

🔥 Bet santos Now at bet365!

Kristaps Porzingis Over 19.5 points (-115)

Projection: 21.4 points

Kristaps Porzingis has been balling for the Dubs in recent outings and is coming off a 28-point performance over Washington. The stretch big is finally starting to find his rhythm with Golden State, and 20 points is a very attainable number.

🔥 Bet Porzingis Now at bet365!


Nuggets computer picks

Peyton Watson Under 11.5 points (-110)

Projection: 9.9 points

Peyton Watson is coming off a miserable shooting performance, and our projections expect that to continue. The 23-year-old only went for 10 points in his last meeting against the Dubs, and they'll do enough to contain him again tonight.

🔥 Bet WatsonNow at bet365!

Nikola Jokic Over 1.5 threes (+115)

Projection: 1.9 threes

Nikola Jokic has hit two or more threes in five of his last 10 games, and the Nuggets are the most efficient 3-point shooting team this season. Jokic will have no problem firing away against this mediocre Golden State defense.

🔥 Bet jokic Now at bet365!

Jamal Murray Over 23.5 points (-112)

Projection: 24.8 points

Not many players are hotter than Jamal Murray, who is scoring 31.6 points per game over his last five outings. Murray is in the midst of a career year, and the injury-riddled Warriors don't have anyone to slow down the Denver PG.

🔥 Bet murray Now at bet365!

How to watch Warriors vs Nuggets tonight

Location Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Date Sunday, March 29, 2026
Tip-off 10:00 p.m. ET
TV NBC

Not intended for use in MA.
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Kyle LaRusic - Covers
Betting Analyst

Kyle LaRusic joined Covers in 2020 with a Holland College diploma in Journalism and a Mount Saint Vincent Degree in Public Relations. Stints at Amherst News and the Cape Breton Post helped sharpen his skills in a newsroom setting, while working for MSVU and Dalhousie’s athletic departments landed Kyle in his comfort zone.

Kyle has been an avid bettor for over five years, starting with just one Sports Interaction account before discovering both the beauty and importance of price shopping. bet365 and Pinnacle are his go to books, but accounts at 10+ sportsbooks give him an array of options. “Rusty” will bet on anything under the sun as long as there’s value and good reasoning behind it, but NHL and NFL are his two favorite leagues to watch and wager on — especially with friends.

Kyle’s biggest tip for any bettor is simple: gamble responsibly. Only bet what you’re willing to lose and make sure to install a proper bankroll method to keep track of your ROI. If you’re still dwelling on the amount you lost the next day, it’s time to decrease your spending.

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