The Minnesota Timberwolves lost a close one to the Houston Rockets on Friday, and the path forward doesn’t get any easier when they travel to Frost Bank Center to face the San Antonio Spurs on Saturday.
San Antonio is rested and healthy, and my Timberwolves vs Spurs predictions expect the home team to cover the spread and get back in the win column against the Wolves.
Here are my best free NBA picks for this Western Conference showdown on Saturday, January 17.
Timberwolves vs Spurs prediction
Timberwolves vs Spurs best bet: Spurs -6.5 (-110)
Anthony Edwards hit a game-winner to take down the San Antonio Spurs on Sunday at Target Center, but Ant-Man is banged up, and the Spurs are playing at home. Saturday’s rematch offers a great opportunity for San Antonio to deliver a win and cover the spread.
The Spurs are 11-7-1 ATS at home and 9-7-1 as the home favorite. The Minnesota Timberwolves are 9-12 ATS on the road, 3-4 as the road dog, and 5-9 with a rest disadvantage. The Spurs sport a +7.2 point differential per game at home, good for the sixth-best mark in the Association.
Minnesota is on the second leg of a back-to-back set and will play its third road game in four days. Anthony Edwards is questionable after sitting out Friday, and even if he plays, he’ll likely be at less than 100%. I'll take the healthier, rested Spurs and the points as they get revenge against the Wolves.
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Timberwolves vs Spurs same-game parlay
The Wolves and Spurs are two of the NBA's best defenses. Minnesota has hit the Over in 13 of 21 games on the road, but San Antonio has done so in just seven of 19 home games, including five of 17 as the home favorite. The Spurs have hit the Under in eight straight, and I don't expect that streak to end against the tired legs of Minnesota. Add in Anthony Edwards' injury, and this looks like a low-scoring game.
Victor Wembanyama has scored at least 24 points in 14 of 27 games overall, including eight of 14 at Frost Bank Center. He posted 29 points against the Wolves on Sunday, and he delivered 34 in his final matchup of the 2024-25 campaign with them. The superstar has averaged 25.4 points across his last five at home.
Timberwolves vs Spurs SGP
- Spurs -6.5
- Under 228.5
- Wembanyama Over 23.5 points
Our "from downtown" SGP: Wemby Spurs San Antonio to victory
Naz Reid is averaging 14.9 points per game this season, and he's scored 15+ in 22 of 42 games overall, and 11 of 20 on the road. Reid has reached the Over on this line in four straight games, including a 17-point performance against the Spurs on Sunday. With Anthony Edwards banged up, Reid could see a bump in offensive usage.
Timberwolves vs Spurs SGP
- Spurs -6.5
- Under 228.5
- Wembanyama Over 23.5 points
- Naz Reid Over 14.5 points
Timberwolves vs Spurs odds
- Spread: Timberwolves +6.5 | Spurs -6.5
- Moneyline: Timberwolves +210 | Spurs -260
- Over/Under: Over 228.5 | Under 228.5
Timberwolves vs Spurs betting trend to know
The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 40 games (+16.45 Units / 36% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Timberwolves vs. Spurs.
How to watch Timberwolves vs Spurs
| Location | Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX |
| Date | Saturday, January 17, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | FDSN |
Timberwolves vs Spurs latest injuries
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