The Houston Rockets have seemingly become an afterthought in the Western Conference race, but they bring an eight-game win streak into tonight’s matchup with the Minnesota Timberwolves.
While Minnesota is locked into the No. 6 seed, Houston still has a path to climb the standings, and my Timberwolves vs. Rockets predictions expect Amen Thompson and Co. to roll past the shorthanded visitors.
Take a closer look at this April 10 clash with my free NBA picks.
Timberwolves vs Rockets prediction
Timberwolves vs Rockets best bet: Amen Thompson Over 18.5 points (+100)
The Houston Rockets look a tier below the true title contenders, but if there’s one wildcard who could close the gap, it’s Amen Thompson.
With a 19.6 ppg average so far in April, after a 19.8 ppg mark in March, he’s taken some of the scoring burden off Kevin Durant and Alperen Sengun, and I see Thompson sparking a ninth straight win for Houston tonight.
Despite largely giving up on three-pointers, Thompson has gone past this points prop O/U in three of his last four outings, and he’s shot 50% or better from the field in 13 of his last 14 contests.
Plus, the Minnesota Timberwolves have already turned its attention to protecting postseason health. The visitors will be without Rudy Gobert as a paint deterrent, while Anthony Edwards is listed as questionable.
If Chris Finch largely leans on his backups here, it should just fuel Thompson and a Rockets offense that’s posted 117+ points four times already this month.
Sitting second in the NBA in minutes per game (37.3), Thompson won’t be short of opportunities, even on the second night of a back-to-back set. He finished with 19 points in 42 minutes last night, and I don’t expect Ime Udoka to cut back on the third-year guard’s workload here.
Thompson is averaging 19.3 ppg against Western Conference opponents this season, and the arrow is pointing up for his evolving offensive skill set.
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Timberwolves vs Rockets same-game parlay
I’ll double down on a big night for Thompson by pairing the Overs for his points and rebounds. He’s grabbed 8+ boards in six of his past nine games – and a rough shooting night for the undermanned T-Wolves should provide ample work on the glass.
The Rockets moneyline rounds out my SGP, with the hosts boasting a 29-10 record at home this season. Minnesota is just 2-5 SU in its last seven contests, and the visitors are thin in the frontcourt without Gobert and possibly Julius Randle and Naz Reid, too.
Timberwolves vs Rockets SGP
- Amen Thompson Over 18.5 points
- Amen Thompson Over 8.5 rebounds
- Rockets moneyline
Our "from downtown" SGP: Cleaning the glass
Minnesota is vulnerable on the glass whenever Gobert sits, so the Rockets are poised to feast tonight.
I’m taking the rebounding Overs for Thompson, Sengun and Josh Okogie, with the T-Wolves likely to struggle against a Houston defense that allows 109.8 ppg, fourth-fewest in the NBA.
Timberwolves vs Rockets SGP
- Amen Thompson Over 8.5 rebounds
- Alperen Sengun Over 9.5 rebounds
- Josh Okogie Over 3.5 rebounds
- Rockets -10.5
Timberwolves vs Rockets odds
- Spread: Minnesota +10.5 (-110) | Houston -10.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Minnesota +390 | Houston -525
- Over/Under: Over 223 (-110) | Under 223 (-110)
Timberwolves vs Rockets betting trend to know
The T-Wolves are 17-23 ATS on the road this season. Find more NBA betting trends for Timberwolves vs. Rockets.
How to watch Timberwolves vs Rockets
| Location | Toyota Center, Houston, TX |
| Date | Friday, April 10, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 9:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | Prime Video |
Timberwolves vs Rockets latest injuries
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