The San Antonio Spurs are 3-1 against the Oklahoma City Thunder this season.
A fifth matchup in the regular season is a rarity, only existing because of the In-Season Tournament. This kind of familiarity makes for tight games.
My Thunder vs. Spurs predictions expect that kind of familiarity to limit Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s secondary impact, one of many NBA picks for Wednesday, February 4.
Editor’s note: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has since been ruled out of tonight’s contest with an abdominal strain.
Thunder vs Spurs prediction
Thunder vs Spurs best bet: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 6.5 assists (-105)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has dished out assists lately, 30 total in the Oklahoma City Thunder's last three games, but that is not his specialty.
Gilgeous-Alexander has fallen short of this prop in 28 of his 49 games this season, including three of his four games against the San Antonio Spurs this season.
The Spurs' length bothers even the Thunder, and of SGA's many strengths, he does not look to move the ball thoroughly once in the half-court. His head tends to be focused on the rim, one of the drawbacks to his foul-baiting habits.
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Thunder vs Spurs same-game parlay
Gilgeous-Alexander has shot a solid but underwhelming 50.6% against the Spurs this season, compared to 55.9% against all other opponents.
That has certainly played a part in San Antonio winning three of their four matchups against OKC.
Thunder vs Spurs SGP
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 6.5 assists
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 31.5 points
- Spurs moneyline
Our "from downtown" SGP: King of the Castle
Stephon Castle cleared this prop in each of his last two games against Oklahoma City, and with the Thunder on the second night of a back-to-back, his frenetic pace should exploit OKC more than usual.
Thunder vs Spurs SGP
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 6.5 assists
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 31.5 points
- Stephon Castle Over 6.5 assists
- Spurs moneyline
Thunder vs Spurs odds
- Spread: Thunder -1.5 (-110) | Spurs +1.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Thunder -125 | Spurs +105
- Over/Under: Over 222 (-110) | Under 222 (-110)
Thunder vs Spurs betting trend to know
Seven straight Spurs games have gone Under their totals, and by an average of 12.4 points. Find more NBA betting trends for Thunder vs. Spurs.
How to watch Thunder vs Spurs
| Location | Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX |
| Date | Wednesday, February 4, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 9:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Thunder vs Spurs latest injuries
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