The Oklahoma City Thunder have won back-to-back games, and the San Antonio Spurs will need to give their all to even this series.
Although injuries have thinned OKC's roster, our NBA player prop projections found where the value lies for Game 4.
For more NBA picks, be sure to check out our Thunder vs. Spurs predictions.
Thunder vs Spurs computer picks for Game 4
| Caruso u10.5 points -120 |
Champagnie o10.5 points -105 |
| Hartenstein o6.5 points +102 |
Fox o14.5 points -105 |
| Gilgeous-Alexander u7.5 assists -105 |
Wembanyama o25.5 points -105 |
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Thunder Game 4 computer picks
Alex Caruso Under 10.5 points (-120)
Projection: 8.18 points
This may seem daunting after watching Alex Caruso in the first few games of this series, but the guard is due for regression.
Caruso went under this number in six of eight prior playoff games, and the San Antonio Spurs will do what they can to shut him down, along with the rest of the OKC bench.
Isaiah Hartenstein Over 6.5 points (+102)
Projection: 7.86 points
After playing just 12 minutes in Game 1, Isaiah Hartenstein has played 20+ minutes in back-to-back outings. His increased floor time will lead to more shots, pushing him Over this total.
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Gilgeous-Alexander Under 7.5 assists (Odds)
Projection: 6.51 assists
With Ajay Mitchell out and Jalen Williams questionable, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is going to have to take on a much bigger offensive role. He'll be looking to shoot more, which should cut into his assists.
Spurs Game 4 computer picks
Julian Champagnie Over 10.5 points (-105)
Projection: 11.72 points
Julian Champagnie has played his part well for the Spurs this season, and he's currently shooting 39% from three. As the Oklahoma City Thunder look to close in on Wemby, Champagnie will be there to knock down outside looks.
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De-Aaron Fox Over 14.5 points (-125)
Projection: 16.02 points
De-Aaron Fox returned from injury and still put up 15 points in Game 3. He's eclipsed this total in all but one playoff game so far, and he'll do so again tonight.
Victor Wembanyama Over 24.5 points (-120)
Projection: 26.86 points
Victor Wembanyama knows he has to dominate if his team has any chance of winning. Going back to Oklahoma City down 3-1 is a death sentence, and Wemby will go all out to secure the win for San Antonio.
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How to watch Thunder vs Spurs Game 4
| Location | Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX |
| Date | Sunday, May 24, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC |
Not intended for use in MA.
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