Best NBA Player Props Today for March 16: Pels Own the Paint

Andrew Caley - Senior Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Andrew Caley • Senior Betting Analyst 14+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 16, 2026 , 02:10 PM ET • 4 min read

In the maybe the surprise of the season, Zion Williamson has been consistently on the court this season, and my NBA predictions are backing him to dominate the paint the Mavericks. It is one of my three NBA player prop best bets for today.

Zion Williamson New Orleans Pelicans NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Zion Williamson (1) dunks in NBA action.

Let’s tip off the new week of NBA action with some slam dunk winners in the player prop markets.

My best NBA player props include Zion Williamson dominating the paint against the Mavericks, and Victor Wembanyama continuing his block party when he travels to L.A. to take on the Clippers.

Those and more NBA picks for Monday, March 16, below.

Best NBA player props today

Player Pick bet365
Hornets Cam Spencer Over 11.5 points -115
Hornets Zion Williamson Over 21.5 -120
Hornets Victor Wembanyama Over 3.5 blocks +120

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Prop #1: Cam Spencer Over 11.5 Points

-115 at bet365

The tank is real for the Memphis Grizzlies. Ty Jerome has been the team’s last reliable scorer. But he hasn’t played back-to-back games since coming out of the All-Star break. And he played last time out.

So, who’s left? Give me Cam Spencer in this matchup against the Chicago Bulls. Spencer is averaging 13.3 points and shooting 47.3% from three.

The Bulls don’t play much defense, ranking 23rd in defensive rating and 21st in opponent effective field goal percentage.

Spencer has a point total of 11.5. A number he’s topped in four of his last five games.

  • Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: FanDuel Sports Network Southeast-Memphis, CHSN

Prop #2: Zion Williamson Over 21.5 Points

-120 at bet365

You’d think a team like the New Orleans Pelicans would be in full tank mode. But Dejounte Murray is back, and Zion Williamson is consistently playing.

So, the Pels don’t look like the teams at the bottom of the West, like tonight’s opponent, the Dallas Mavericks.

Injuries have hampered the Mavs, but it's their interior presence that has really been hurt, ranking last in opponent points in the paint per game.

Williamson has a point total of 21.5 and is averaging 22.7 points over his last 11 full games and has topped this number in both of his games against the Mavs.

  • Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: KFAA, GCSEN

Prop #3: Victor Wembanyama Over 3.5 Blocks

+120 at bet365

Victor Wembanayama has been the favorite to win the NBA Defensive Player of the Year for a while now, but he’s taken his effort at that end of the floor to the next level.

The San Antonio Spurs star has been having his own block party, averaging 4.3 blocks per game over 12 games since coming out of the All-Star break, blocking four or more shots 10 times over that stretch.

His block prop for tonight’s game against the Los Angeles Clippers is sitting at 3.5 with the Over at a tantalizing plus-money price.

  • Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Peacock

These props are available now at bet365, one of our best betting sites.

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Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst

When his dreams of becoming the next Steve Nash died, all Andrew "Taco" Caley wanted to do was write about sports, something he's been doing at Covers for more than a decade. A Journalism School grad from Holland College in Charlottetown, PEI, Andrew previously worked at The Chronicle Herald and Star Metro, but knew in his heart that his future lay in sports. He began at Covers as a news editor and has now done everything under the sun when it comes to content. His work has been seen on TSN, Sportsnet, VSiN, and CBS. These days Andrew's betting expertise is focused on his favorite teams; the Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He's also an avid college football fan and bettor. He can't be friends with you if you don't appreciate a Service Academy Under. The sportsbook where he does the bulk of his betting is bet365 thanks to its numerous prop betting options and competitive odds. His best advice? Find the balance between the numbers and what you see on the playing field. Then find the best price using multiple books. And don’t ask him where the nickname Taco comes from. It's not an interesting story. Seriously.

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