Pacers vs Clippers Odds, Picks, and Predictions Tonight: Indiana Jonesing For Points

When efficient offenses meet weak defenses, the answer is always points. That's what our NBA expert Andrew Caley believes and he's siding with the visitors here to run up the points once again a day after reaching 145. Find out why below.

Andrew Caley - Senior Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Andrew Caley • Senior Betting Analyst
Mar 25, 2024 • 17:24 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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The Indiana Pacers will do the La La Land doubleheader as they will play their second game in as many nights at the Crypto.com Arena, this time against the Los Angeles Clippers.

The Pacers’ furious fourth-quarter comeback against the Lakers came up short. So, the question is, will they have anything left in the tank for tonight’s matchup against the Clippers?

The NBA odds have the Pacers as 6-point road underdogs but L.A. hasn’t exactly played great lately and is also playing a back-to-back.

I break it all down in my NBA picks and predictions for Pacers vs. Clippers on Monday, March 25. 

Pacers vs Clippers odds

Pacers vs Clippers predictions

Both the Indiana Pacers and Los Angeles Clippers are coming off tough losses yesterday, but this one should still feature some fireworks. The Pacers rank second in both offensive rating and effective field goal percentage while the Clippers rank fourth and fifth in those categories respectively.

The Pacers comeback against the Los Angeles Lakers came up just short. Indiana trailed by as many as 19 before getting to within three before falling 150-145 as 2.5-point road dogs in what felt like an early-season Pacers performance. All gas no brakes.

The Clippers, on the other hand, suffered a more humbling defeat, falling 121-107 as 9-point favorites against the Joel Embiid-less Philadelphia 76ers.

After looking like a wagon just a short while ago, the Clippers have been battling consistency and following the loss to the Sixers are 5-6 straight up and 3-8 against the spread in their last 11 games.

The Pacers' issues are clear and have been all season. They give all their effort to a high-octane offense, and it can cost them defensively at times. The Clippers are the more interesting case here. 

With guys like Kawhi Leonard and Paul George on the court, they should be an excellent defensive team, but over this 11-game period, they rank 28th in defensive rating. They also rank 14th in opponent-effective field goal percentage this season.

The Pacers team total for this matchup is sitting at 113.5. They have put up 121 or more in seven of their last 10 games. The three times they didn’t, came in games against the Cleveland Cavaliers, the Minnesota Timberwolves, and the Orlando Magic – three of the best defensive teams in the NBA. 

The Clippers ain’t that. 

The back-to-back doesn’t scare me here, particularly because the Pacers didn’t have to change cities and the Clippers are in the same situation. Take Indiana to go Over this number.

My best bet: Pacers team total Over 112.5 (-112 at FanDuel)

Pacers vs Clippers same-game parlay

Pacers team total Over 113.5

James Harden Under 9.5 assists

Andrew Nembhard Over 3.5 assists

While the Pacers give up a bunch of points in part because of their high pace of play, they do a few things well defensively. One is they don’t allow opponents to shoot a lot of threes and two, they are great at limiting opponent assists. In fact, they lead the NBA in opponent assists per possession.

That leads me to James Harden who has an assist prop of 9.5. The Clippers guard has gone on a bit of an assists tear lately going over this number in five of his last seven games but it hasn’t helped his team win basketball games. Before this stretch, he played below this number in 11 or 12 and now gets a tough matchup with the Pacers. Add Under 9.5 assists.

Conversely, the Clippers are allowing the sixth most assists per possession over the last 11 games. Tyrese Haliburton assists Over right? Well, his assists numbers are always juiced. Instead, let’s go with Andrew Nembhard Over 3.5 assists. He averages 4.2 per game this season and has gone Over this number in three of his last four games. 

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Pacers vs Clippers spread and Over/Under analysis

  • The Clippers opened this game as 6-point home favorites but the Pacers have seen the early action with the line at L.A. -5.5.
  • The Clippers have covered the spread in just three of their last 11 games.
  • The total opened at 233 and that's where it remains as of Monday afternoon.
  • The Pacers' last game which had 295 total points was a throwback to some early-season results but improved defense has made them a surprising Under bet, going 5-15 O/U over their last 20 games. 

Pacers vs Clippers betting trend to know

The Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 79 games for +9.60 units and a 10% ROI. Find more NBA betting trends for Pacers vs. Clippers.

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Pacers vs Clippers game info

Location: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
Date: Monday, March 25, 2024
Tip-off: 10:30 p.m. ET
TV: Bally Sports Indiana, Bally Sports SoCal

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Senior Betting Analyst

When his dreams of becoming the next Steve Nash died, all Andrew “Taco” Caley wanted to do was write about sports, something he’s been doing at Covers for more than a decade. A Journalism School grad from Holland College in Charlottetown, PEI, Andrew previously worked at The Chronicle Herald and Star Metro, but knew in his heart that his future lay in sports. He began at Covers as a news editor and has now done everything under the sun when it comes to content. His work has been seen on TSN, Sportsnet, VSiN, and CBS.

These days Andrew’s betting expertise is focused on his favorite teams – the Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He’s also an avid college football fan and bettor. He can’t be friends with you if you don’t appreciate a Service Academy Under. You can also call him Covers’ Sixth Man, as he regularly steps up to guest host Before You Bet and our MLB and NCAAF release shows.

The sportsbook where he does the bulk of his betting is bet365 thanks to its numerous prop betting options and competitive odds. His best advice? Find the balance between the numbers and what you see on the playing field. Then find the best price using multiple books. And don’t ask him where the nickname Taco comes from. It’s not an interesting story. Seriously.

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