After splitting the first four games of the WNBA Finals, Game 5 shifts back to the Bay as the Golden State Valkyries host the Atlanta Dream on Monday, Oct. 26.
Aside from Atlanta's offensive eruption in Game 3, both teams have been relatively quiet in the scoring department this series, and my Dream vs. Valkyries prediction expects more of the same for this 8 p.m. ET tip at Chase Center.
While I’m counting on low team totals, I expect each team’s star to have an impressive showing, which is why my WNBA picks are also eyeing the Over on Gabby Williams' scoring prop.
TOP PICK
Dream vs Valkyries prediction: Under 151.5
The Under has hit in three of four games in this series, and I’ll trade this line down to 148.5.
Despite Game 3’s 168-point scoring binge, the series has averaged 143.3 points per game, well below n this 151.5-point line.
Each team has held the other to sub-38% shooting, while forcing at least 13.5 turnovers. The Atlanta Dream own a smothering 87.4 defensive rating, and the Golden State Valkyries sit at an impressive 98.4.
WNBA Finals games have slowed to a grind, with the Dream and Valkyries averaging just 77.4 possessions per game.
Fewer possessions, contested looks, and inefficient shooting will lead to another low-scoring game.
COVERS INTEL: The Valkyries got a defensive spark in Game 4 by shifting Tiffany Hayes and Kaila Charles into the starting lineup for the first time this series. Hayes finished with a defensive rating of 92.4, her best in the Finals.
Dream vs Valkyries combo
Gabby Williams averaged 16.1 points per regular-season home game, and just 12.5 on the road. She’s averaging 20.8 ppg through 10 postseason appearances, going for 20+ five times.
In seven total meetings with the Dream this season, she’s cleared this line twice in four home games and failed to reach it in any of her trips to Atlanta. If the Valkyries want to win on Monday, they’ll need Williams to lead the way. And I expect her to do exactly that.
Golden State sports a +5.2 point differential at home in the playoffs compared to a -4.8 road differential. That’s a 10-point swing, and the raucous crowd at “Ballhalla” will be roaring as the V’s look to wrestle back momentum and retake the series lead.
The Valkyries to take Game 5 at home before the series shifts back to Atlanta.
Dream vs Valkyries combo
- Under 151.5
- Gabby Williams Over 19.5 points
- Valkyries -1.5
Want more basketball combos? Check out our WNBA parlay picks page!
- Top picks: 41-48, -12.28 units
- Combos: 10-79, -24.10 units
Dream vs Valkyries odds
- Spread: Dream +1.5 | Valkyries -1.5
- Moneyline: Dream 48% | Valkyries 53%
- Over/Under: Over 151.5 | Under 151.5
Dream vs Valkyries trend
The Dream have hit the Under in eight straight games as the road underdog. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Dream vs Valkyries
| Location | Chase Center, San Francisco, CA |
| Date | Monday, Oct. 26, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 8 p.m. ET |
| TV | USA Network |
Dream vs Valkyries latest injuries
Dream: Allisha Gray G (Questionable).
Valkyries: None.
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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